Football · Puerto Rico League · 03/09, 02:30

Prediction: Academia Quintana vs Criollos De Caguas

Team pages: Academia Quintana · Criollos De Caguas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

Academia Quintana2.46

Criollos De Caguas1.3

1X2

62% 20% 18%

Academia Quintana Draw Criollos De Caguas

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Academia Quintana 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWDLWW

Criollos De Caguas 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWDD

Head-to-head

Academia Quintana 4–2 Criollos De Caguas (6 last)

Criollos De Caguas2-1Academia Quintana
Academia Quintana3-1Criollos De Caguas
Academia Quintana3-1Criollos De Caguas
Criollos De Caguas2-3Academia Quintana
Academia Quintana2-3Criollos De Caguas
Academia Quintana3-0Criollos De Caguas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia Quintana 1596 · Criollos De Caguas 1537

	Academia Quintana	Draw	Criollos De Caguas
Our model	62%	20%	18%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academia Quintana (rating 1596 vs 1537).
H2H favours Academia Quintana: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia Quintana	Criollos De Caguas
Goals for / against (FT)	3.9 / 0.9	2.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.8	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	4.7 / 1

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.45▼	Bet365 1.45
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.50 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
07:05 +4’	1.50	4.50	4.50
09:06 +4’	1.45▼	4.50	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Quintana 4–0–2 Criollos De Caguas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/05/26 Puerto Rico League	Criollos De Caguas	2-1 HT 0-1	Academia Quintana
26/03/26 Puerto Rico League	Academia Quintana	3-1	Criollos De Caguas
25/03/26 Puerto Rico League	Academia Quintana	3-1 HT 2-1	Criollos De Caguas
06/10/25 Puerto Rico League	Criollos De Caguas	2-3 HT 1-2	Academia Quintana
14/08/25 Puerto Rico League	Academia Quintana	2-3	Criollos De Caguas
01/06/25 Puerto Rico League	Academia Quintana	3-0 HT 1-0	Criollos De Caguas

Standings · Puerto Rico League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	DS Edusoccer	3	2	1	0	8	3	7
2	Ponce FC	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
3	Academia Quintana	2	2	0	0	9	0	6
4	Metropolitan FA	3	2	0	1	7	1	6
5	Criollos De Caguas	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
6	Puerto Rico Surf SC	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
7	PR San Juan	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
8	Guaynabo Gol SC	3	0	0	3	0	9	0
9	Taurinos	2	0	0	2	0	10	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia Quintana	Criollos De Caguas
Taurinos	6-0 W	4-0 W
Ponce FC	1-3 L	2-2 D
Puerto Rico Surf SC	0-0 D	0-1 L
DS Edusoccer	4-2 W	1-1 D
Guayama FC	2-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Academia Quintana (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia Quintana

WWLWWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	Taurinos Puerto Rico League	–	6-0	–	–	W
16/08	Guaynabo Gol SC Puerto Rico League	–	3-0	–	–	W
14/06	Ponce FC Puerto Rico League	1-1	1-3	5	8	L
07/06	Puerto Rico Surf SC Puerto Rico League	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
31/05	Puerto Rico Surf SC Puerto Rico League	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
28/05	DS Edusoccer Puerto Rico League	0-0	4-2	11	3	W
25/05	FC Mayaguez Puerto Rico League	–	18-1	–	–	W
21/05	Criollos De Caguas Puerto Rico League	1-0	1-2	5	3	L
16/05	Guaynabo Gol SC Puerto Rico League	–	3-1	–	–	W
14/05	Guayama FC Puerto Rico League	–	2-0	–	–	W

Criollos De Caguas

LWWLWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Ponce FC Puerto Rico League	–	2-2	–	–	D
23/08	DS Edusoccer Puerto Rico League	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/08	PR San Juan Puerto Rico League	2-1	2-1	4	6	W
30/05	Guayama FC Puerto Rico League	–	5-0	–	–	W
23/05	DS Edusoccer Puerto Rico League	–	4-1	–	–	W
21/05	Academia Quintana Puerto Rico League	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
18/05	Ponce FC Puerto Rico League	–	0-1	–	–	L
14/05	PR San Juan Puerto Rico League	0-0	2-0	4	8	W
09/05	Taurinos Puerto Rico League	–	4-0	–	–	W
03/05	Puerto Rico Surf SC Puerto Rico League	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia Quintana vs Criollos De Caguas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Quintana win (62%). Probabilities: Academia Quintana 62%, draw 20%, Criollos De Caguas 18%.

How many goals are expected in Academia Quintana vs Criollos De Caguas?

The model expects 3.76 goals (Academia Quintana 2.46 · Criollos De Caguas 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia Quintana vs Criollos De Caguas?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.