Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 12/09, 09:00
Prediction: UWA-Nedlands FC vs Mandurah City
Team pages: UWA-Nedlands FC · Mandurah City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
UWA-Nedlands FC1.76
Mandurah City1.26
1X2
UWA-Nedlands FC
Draw
Mandurah City
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
UWA-Nedlands FC
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Mandurah City
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UWA-Nedlands FC
3–3
Mandurah City
(6 last)
- Mandurah City0-1UWA-Nedlands FC
- UWA-Nedlands FC3-0Mandurah City
- Mandurah City3-1UWA-Nedlands FC
- UWA-Nedlands FC3-0Mandurah City
- Mandurah City3-0UWA-Nedlands FC
- Mandurah City3-2UWA-Nedlands FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UWA-Nedlands FC 1548 · Mandurah City 1501
| UWA-Nedlands FC | Draw | Mandurah City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 23% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UWA-Nedlands FC (rating 1548 vs 1501).
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UWA-Nedlands FC | Mandurah City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 4 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UWA-Nedlands FC 3–0–3 Mandurah City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Mandurah City | 0-1 HT 0-0 | UWA-Nedlands FC |
| 01/08/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Mandurah City |
| 16/05/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Mandurah City | 3-1 HT 0-1 | UWA-Nedlands FC |
| 13/08/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Mandurah City |
| 17/05/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Mandurah City | 3-0 HT 2-0 | UWA-Nedlands FC |
| 10/08/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Mandurah City | 3-2 HT 1-1 | UWA-Nedlands FC |
Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floreat Athena | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 24 | 52 |
| 2 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 48 | 25 | 47 |
| 3 | Mandurah City | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 39 | 36 |
| 4 | Joondalup City | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 32 | 36 |
| 5 | Quinns FC | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 37 | 36 |
| 6 | Inglewood United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 33 |
| 7 | Kingsley Westside | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 36 | 29 |
| 8 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 47 | 25 |
| 9 | Cockburn City | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 34 | 49 | 23 |
| 10 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 46 | 22 |
| 11 | Subiaco AFC | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 46 | 20 |
| 12 | Curtin University SC | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 41 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UWA-Nedlands FC | Mandurah City |
|---|---|---|
| Joondalup City | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Murdoch University Melville FC | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Curtin University SC | 2-1 W | 4-3 W |
| Inglewood United | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Quinns FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Kingsley Westside | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: UWA-Nedlands FC (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UWA-Nedlands FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Mandurah City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UWA-Nedlands FC vs Mandurah City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UWA-Nedlands FC win (49%). Probabilities: UWA-Nedlands FC 49%, draw 24%, Mandurah City 27%.
How many goals are expected in UWA-Nedlands FC vs Mandurah City?
The model expects 3.02 goals (UWA-Nedlands FC 1.76 · Mandurah City 1.26), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in UWA-Nedlands FC vs Mandurah City?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.