Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Gil Vicente FC (W) vs Braga B (W)

Team pages: Gil Vicente FC (W) · Braga B (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Gil Vicente FC (W)1.61

Braga B (W)1.64

1X2

37% 25% 38%

Gil Vicente FC (W) Draw Braga B (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Gil Vicente FC (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWLDW

Braga B (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Gil Vicente FC (W) 1–1–3 Braga B (W) (5 last)

Braga B (W)2-2Gil Vicente FC (W)
Braga B (W)3-1Gil Vicente FC (W)
Braga B (W)1-0Gil Vicente FC (W)
Gil Vicente FC (W)0-1Braga B (W)
Braga B (W)0-2Gil Vicente FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gil Vicente FC (W) 1521 · Braga B (W) 1552

	Gil Vicente FC (W)	Draw	Braga B (W)
Our model	37%	25%	38%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Braga B (W): 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gil Vicente FC (W)	Braga B (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	2.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/56/11%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.3	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.50

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:48 +30’	2.45	3.50	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gil Vicente FC (W) 1–1–3 Braga B (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/10/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	Braga B (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Gil Vicente FC (W)
21/12/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	Braga B (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Gil Vicente FC (W)
27/04/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	Braga B (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Gil Vicente FC (W)
03/02/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	Gil Vicente FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Braga B (W)
16/09/23 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	Braga B (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Gil Vicente FC (W)

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · II Divisao, Women 26/27, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Clube de Albergaria (W)	4	4	0	0	10	1	12
2	Famalicao (W)	4	2	1	1	9	5	7
3	Gil Vicente FC (W)	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
4	Braga B (W)	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
5	SC Rio Tinto (W)	3	1	0	2	4	8	3
6	JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)	4	0	0	4	3	13	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gil Vicente FC (W)	Braga B (W)
SC Rio Tinto (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Famalicao (W)	2-2 D	1-2 L
Clube de Albergaria (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gil Vicente FC (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gil Vicente FC (W)

WLWWLLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SC Rio Tinto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
17/10	Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	2-1	2-2	0	4	D
26/09	Clube de Albergaria (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
19/09	JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	2-1	3	0	W
09/05	Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-3	1-5	2	3	L
02/05	Benfica B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	1-3	1	2	L
25/04	JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
03/04	CF Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	–	3-1	–	–	W
28/03	Clube de Albergaria (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
21/03	CA Ouriense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	1-0	1-0	5	2	W

Braga B (W)

DDWWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	1-1	1-2	0	6	L
17/10	Clube de Albergaria (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-2	1-2	2	5	L
26/09	JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
09/05	Amora (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
02/05	FC Tirsense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	2-1	3-1	1	3	W
25/04	Leixoes (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	2-0	0	5	W
03/04	Estoril (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	4-0	6-1	15	4	W
28/03	Guia (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	2-0	3-0	3	5	W
21/03	SC Rio Tinto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
15/03	Sporting (W) B Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	0-0	9	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gil Vicente FC (W) vs Braga B (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Braga B (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Gil Vicente FC (W) 37%, draw 25%, Braga B (W) 38%.

How many goals are expected in Gil Vicente FC (W) vs Braga B (W)?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Gil Vicente FC (W) 1.61 · Braga B (W) 1.64), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gil Vicente FC (W) vs Braga B (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.