Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · 07/11, 16:00
Prediction: Clube de Albergaria (W) vs SC Rio Tinto (W)
Team pages: Clube de Albergaria (W) · SC Rio Tinto (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Clube de Albergaria (W)2.15
SC Rio Tinto (W)0.63
1X2
Clube de Albergaria (W)
Draw
SC Rio Tinto (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Clube de Albergaria (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
SC Rio Tinto (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Clube de Albergaria (W)
3–0
SC Rio Tinto (W)
(3 last)
- SC Rio Tinto (W)1-3Clube de Albergaria (W)
- SC Rio Tinto (W)1-4Clube de Albergaria (W)
- SC Rio Tinto (W)1-5Clube de Albergaria (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clube de Albergaria (W) 1599 · SC Rio Tinto (W) 1542
| Clube de Albergaria (W) | Draw | SC Rio Tinto (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 20% | 9% |
| Market | 74% | 15% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clube de Albergaria (W) (rating 1599 vs 1542).
- H2H favours Clube de Albergaria (W): 3-0-0.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Clube de Albergaria (W) | SC Rio Tinto (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.6 | 2.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 56/33/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.1 | 3.1 / 8.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Clube de Albergaria (W) 3–0–0 SC Rio Tinto (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women | SC Rio Tinto (W) | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Clube de Albergaria (W) |
| 08/12/24 Portugal Cup Women | SC Rio Tinto (W) | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Clube de Albergaria (W) |
| 08/12/23 Portugal Cup Women | SC Rio Tinto (W) | 1-5 HT 0-3 | Clube de Albergaria (W) |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · II Divisao, Women 26/27, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clube de Albergaria (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Famalicao (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente FC (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Braga B (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | SC Rio Tinto (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 6 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Clube de Albergaria (W) | SC Rio Tinto (W) |
|---|---|---|
| JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | 5-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Braga B (W) | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Gil Vicente FC (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Famalicao (W) | 2-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Clube de Albergaria (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clube de Albergaria (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Braga B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Benfica B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 03/04 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | CF Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
SC Rio Tinto (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | EFF Setubal (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Sporting (W) B Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Estoril (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 7-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Amora (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | FC Tirsense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Braga B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 14/03 | Leixoes (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clube de Albergaria (W) vs SC Rio Tinto (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Clube de Albergaria (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Clube de Albergaria (W) 73%, draw 17%, SC Rio Tinto (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in Clube de Albergaria (W) vs SC Rio Tinto (W)?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Clube de Albergaria (W) 2.15 · SC Rio Tinto (W) 0.63), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Clube de Albergaria (W) vs SC Rio Tinto (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.