Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · 31/10, 16:00
Prediction: SC Rio Tinto (W) vs Gil Vicente FC (W)
Team pages: Gil Vicente FC (W)
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.88Total
SC Rio Tinto (W)1.18
Gil Vicente FC (W)2.7
1X2
SC Rio Tinto (W)
Draw
Gil Vicente FC (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
SC Rio Tinto (W)
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Gil Vicente FC (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SC Rio Tinto (W)
0–2
Gil Vicente FC (W)
(2 last)
- Gil Vicente FC (W)5-1SC Rio Tinto (W)
- SC Rio Tinto (W)0-4Gil Vicente FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SC Rio Tinto (W) 1581 · Gil Vicente FC (W) 1490
| SC Rio Tinto (W) | Draw | Gil Vicente FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 18% | 69% |
| Market | 13% | 19% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.88 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Rio Tinto (W) (rating 1581 vs 1490).
- H2H favours Gil Vicente FC (W): 2-0-0.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC Rio Tinto (W) | Gil Vicente FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/33/0% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 9.1 | 1.8 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.3 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Rio Tinto (W) 0–0–2 Gil Vicente FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women | Gil Vicente FC (W) | 5-1 HT 5-0 | SC Rio Tinto (W) |
| 12/10/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women | SC Rio Tinto (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Gil Vicente FC (W) |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · II Divisao, Women 26/27, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clube de Albergaria (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Famalicao (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente FC (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Braga B (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | SC Rio Tinto (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 6 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SC Rio Tinto (W) | Gil Vicente FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Famalicao (W) | 0-5 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SC Rio Tinto (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | EFF Setubal (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Sporting (W) B Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Estoril (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 7-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Amora (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | FC Tirsense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Braga B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 14/03 | Leixoes (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 08/03 | Guia (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-0 | 9-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
Gil Vicente FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Clube de Albergaria (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Benfica B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | CF Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Clube de Albergaria (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | CA Ouriense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SC Rio Tinto (W) vs Gil Vicente FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gil Vicente FC (W) win (68%). Probabilities: SC Rio Tinto (W) 13%, draw 18%, Gil Vicente FC (W) 68%.
How many goals are expected in SC Rio Tinto (W) vs Gil Vicente FC (W)?
The model expects 3.88 goals (SC Rio Tinto (W) 1.18 · Gil Vicente FC (W) 2.7), with a 60% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in SC Rio Tinto (W) vs Gil Vicente FC (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.