Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · 31/10, 16:00
Prediction: JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) vs Clube de Albergaria (W)
Team pages: JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) · Clube de Albergaria (W)
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)0.79
Clube de Albergaria (W)2.05
1X2
JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)
Draw
Clube de Albergaria (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Clube de Albergaria (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)
0–1–1
Clube de Albergaria (W)
(2 last)
- Clube de Albergaria (W)3-0JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)
- JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)0-0Clube de Albergaria (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) 1404 · Clube de Albergaria (W) 1584
| JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | Draw | Clube de Albergaria (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 22% | 66% |
| Market | 14% | 18% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clube de Albergaria (W) (rating 1404 vs 1584).
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | Clube de Albergaria (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 3 | 1.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 2 | 2.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) 0–1–1 Clube de Albergaria (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women | Clube de Albergaria (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) |
| 31/01/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Clube de Albergaria (W) |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · II Divisao, Women 26/27, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clube de Albergaria (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Famalicao (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente FC (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Braga B (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | SC Rio Tinto (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 6 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | Clube de Albergaria (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Braga B (W) | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Gil Vicente FC (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Benfica B (W) | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| CF Benfica (W) | 2-4 L | 3-1 W |
| CA Ouriense (W) | 1-3 L | 4-0 W |
| FC Porto (W) | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Famalicao (W) | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 6 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Clube de Albergaria (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | SC Rio Tinto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Braga B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Benfica B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | CF Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Clube de Albergaria (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | CA Ouriense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
Clube de Albergaria (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Braga B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Benfica B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 03/04 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | CF Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 14/03 | CA Ouriense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) vs Clube de Albergaria (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Clube de Albergaria (W) win (67%). Probabilities: JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) 14%, draw 20%, Clube de Albergaria (W) 67%.
How many goals are expected in JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) vs Clube de Albergaria (W)?
The model expects 2.84 goals (JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) 0.79 · Clube de Albergaria (W) 2.05), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) vs Clube de Albergaria (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.