Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 12/09, 10:00

Prediction: Bayside Argonauts FC vs Box Hill United

Team pages: Bayside Argonauts FC · Box Hill United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Bayside Argonauts FC1.39

Box Hill United1.25

1X2

40% 27% 33%

Bayside Argonauts FC Draw Box Hill United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Bayside Argonauts FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWLWWW

Box Hill United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLWDWL

Head-to-head

Bayside Argonauts FC 0–1–1 Box Hill United (2 last)

Bayside Argonauts FC0-1Box Hill United
Box Hill United1-1Bayside Argonauts FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bayside Argonauts FC 1573 · Box Hill United 1498

	Bayside Argonauts FC	Draw	Box Hill United
Our model	39%	29%	32%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bayside Argonauts FC (rating 1573 vs 1498).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bayside Argonauts FC	Box Hill United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/67/11%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.5	2.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:16 +18’	2.20	3.60	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayside Argonauts FC 0–1–1 Box Hill United

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Bayside Argonauts FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Box Hill United
07/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Box Hill United	1-1 HT 1-0	Bayside Argonauts FC

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malvern City	26	18	2	6	66	33	56
2	Goulburn Valley Suns FC	26	17	4	5	59	35	55
3	Bayside Argonauts FC	26	15	5	6	47	32	50
4	Essendon Royals	26	15	3	8	63	42	48
5	Keilor Park	26	14	2	10	39	37	44
6	Box Hill United	26	11	7	8	37	32	40
7	Whittlesea United	26	9	11	6	49	31	38
8	Springvale White Eagles	26	9	5	12	32	46	32
9	Eastern Lions	26	7	9	10	43	43	30
10	Kingston City	26	9	3	14	37	55	30
11	Nunawading	26	8	5	13	29	44	29
12	Werribee City	26	6	6	14	37	50	24
13	Altona City	26	3	8	15	25	44	17
14	Moreland City SC	26	2	8	16	34	73	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bayside Argonauts FC	Box Hill United
Goulburn Valley Suns FC	4-2 W	0-3 L
Nunawading	1-0 W	1-0 W
Moreland City SC	1-0 W	2-2 D
Keilor Park	1-0 W	0-1 L
Eastern Lions	1-1 D	1-1 D
Altona City	1-0 W	3-1 W
Essendon Royals	1-1 D	2-3 L
Whittlesea United	4-3 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Bayside Argonauts FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bayside Argonauts FC

WDWDWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	–	4-2	–	–	W
14/08	Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
07/08	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
01/08	Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
24/07	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
17/07	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
11/07	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/07	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
19/06	Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	3-1	4-3	–	–	W

Box Hill United

WLLWDLWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
21/08	Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
15/08	Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
07/08	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
31/07	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-1	11	3	L
24/07	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
17/07	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	3-1	5	1	W
10/07	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-2	2-3	5	1	L
03/07	Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-3	2	3	L
19/06	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	2-0	3-1	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bayside Argonauts FC vs Box Hill United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bayside Argonauts FC win (40%). Probabilities: Bayside Argonauts FC 40%, draw 27%, Box Hill United 33%.

How many goals are expected in Bayside Argonauts FC vs Box Hill United?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Bayside Argonauts FC 1.39 · Box Hill United 1.25), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bayside Argonauts FC vs Box Hill United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.