Football · Colombia Primera A · 03/09, 01:20

Prediction: Cucuta Deportivo vs Internacional de Bogota

Team pages: Cucuta Deportivo · Internacional de Bogota

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

Cucuta Deportivo1.29

Internacional de Bogota1.05

1X2

41% 30% 29%

Cucuta Deportivo Draw Internacional de Bogota

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Cucuta Deportivo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLDLDWW

Internacional de Bogota 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLDDDD

Head-to-head

Cucuta Deportivo 0–1–1 Internacional de Bogota (2 last)

Cucuta Deportivo1-1Internacional de Bogota
Internacional de Bogota2-1Cucuta Deportivo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cucuta Deportivo 1462 · Internacional de Bogota 1486

	Cucuta Deportivo	Draw	Internacional de Bogota
Our model	41%	30%	29%
Market	41%	29%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cucuta Deportivo	Internacional de Bogota
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.7	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.6	3.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.20

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:05 +2’	2.30	3.20	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cucuta Deportivo 0–1–1 Internacional de Bogota

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/08/26 Colombia Primera A	Cucuta Deportivo	1-1 HT 0-0	Internacional de Bogota
24/01/26 Colombia Primera A	Internacional de Bogota	2-1 HT 1-1	Cucuta Deportivo

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	America de Cali	7	5	2	0	17	4	17
2	Atletico Nacional Medellin	5	4	0	1	12	4	12
3	Independiente Medellin	5	4	0	1	9	6	12
4	Millonarios	6	3	2	1	6	2	11
5	Llaneros	7	3	2	2	8	7	11
6	Deportes Tolima	5	3	1	1	8	6	10
7	Atletico Bucaramanga	6	2	4	0	7	5	10
8	Aguilas Doradas	5	2	3	0	8	6	9
9	Deportivo Cali	6	2	2	2	8	6	8
10	Cucuta Deportivo	6	2	2	2	5	9	8
11	Internacional de Bogota	7	1	4	2	6	8	7
12	Once Caldas	5	1	3	1	9	6	6
13	Independiente Santa Fe	5	1	3	1	6	5	6
14	Fortaleza CEIF	6	1	3	2	5	6	6
15	Jaguares de Cordoba	6	1	2	3	4	9	5
16	Deportivo Pereira	3	0	2	1	0	1	2
17	Junior	5	0	2	3	5	9	2
18	Alianza	6	0	2	4	5	12	2
19	Boyaca Chico	5	0	2	3	2	12	2
20	Deportivo Pasto	6	0	1	5	4	11	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cucuta Deportivo	Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares de Cordoba	0-2 L	1-0 W
Independiente Santa Fe	0-5 L	1-3 L
America de Cali	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Internacional de Bogota (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cucuta Deportivo

WLDLLDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Alianza Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	3	11	W
23/08	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
20/08	Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	3	10	D
08/08	Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
04/08	Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-1	1	11	D
27/07	Once Caldas Colombia Primera A	1-3	1-5	10	3	L
02/05	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
24/04	Junior Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-1	1	3	D
19/04	Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A	0-3	0-5	6	2	L
05/04	America de Cali Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-0	5	8	W

Internacional de Bogota

LLLLWLDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
28/08	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
24/08	Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A	1-2	2-2	2	1	D
20/08	Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	7	10	D
09/08	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
06/08	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
26/07	America de Cali Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-2	8	5	L
13/05	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-2	1-7	3	1	L
09/05	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-2	6	6	L
03/05	Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-3	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cucuta Deportivo vs Internacional de Bogota?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cucuta Deportivo win (41%). Probabilities: Cucuta Deportivo 41%, draw 30%, Internacional de Bogota 29%.

How many goals are expected in Cucuta Deportivo vs Internacional de Bogota?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Cucuta Deportivo 1.29 · Internacional de Bogota 1.05), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cucuta Deportivo vs Internacional de Bogota?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.