Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 19/09, 21:00

Prediction: EC Pelotas vs Brasil de Pelotas

Team pages: EC Pelotas · Brasil de Pelotas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.01Total

EC Pelotas1.01

Brasil de Pelotas1

1X2

34% 33% 33%

EC Pelotas Draw Brasil de Pelotas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

EC Pelotas 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDWDDDLL

Brasil de Pelotas 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWDDWLDW

Head-to-head

EC Pelotas 1–4–1 Brasil de Pelotas (6 last)

Brasil de Pelotas1-1EC Pelotas
Brasil de Pelotas1-0EC Pelotas
EC Pelotas0-0Brasil de Pelotas
EC Pelotas0-0Brasil de Pelotas
Brasil de Pelotas0-0EC Pelotas
EC Pelotas2-1Brasil de Pelotas

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brasil de Pelotas (rating 1464 vs 1517).
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EC Pelotas	Brasil de Pelotas
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	0.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.9	3.4 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	6.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.75

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.41 → 2.41	Pinn 2.41
X	2.65 → 2.65	Pinn 2.65
2	3.01 → 3.01	Pinn 3.01

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:28 +249’	2.41	2.65	3.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · EC Pelotas 1–4–1 Brasil de Pelotas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/11/25 Brazil Copa Gaucho	Brasil de Pelotas	1-1 HT 1-0	EC Pelotas
06/03/25 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho	Brasil de Pelotas	1-0 HT 0-0	EC Pelotas
02/03/25 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho	EC Pelotas	0-0 HT 0-0	Brasil de Pelotas
08/02/25 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho	EC Pelotas	0-0 HT 0-0	Brasil de Pelotas
06/04/21 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho	Brasil de Pelotas	0-0 HT 0-0	EC Pelotas
01/08/20 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho	EC Pelotas	2-1 HT 0-0	Brasil de Pelotas

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Passo Fundo RS	12	6	5	1	16	7	23
2	Veranopolis	12	6	4	2	11	5	22
3	Uniao Frederiquense	12	5	5	2	13	8	20
4	Santa Cruz RS	12	5	5	2	11	7	20
5	APAFUT	12	5	4	3	15	10	19
6	CE Bento Goncalves	12	4	6	2	14	10	18
7	Brasil de Farroupilha	11	4	6	1	11	7	18
8	Brasil de Pelotas	11	4	5	2	10	6	17
9	Aimore RS	12	4	5	3	11	11	17
10	Guarani de Venancio Aires	12	3	5	4	13	17	14
11	Sport Clube Gaucho	12	3	3	6	9	10	12
12	EC Pelotas	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
13	GE Bage	12	2	5	5	8	15	11
14	GE Gloria	11	2	4	5	10	13	10
15	Gramadense	12	1	5	6	7	16	8
16	Lajeadense	12	1	2	9	5	18	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EC Pelotas	Brasil de Pelotas
APAFUT	1-2 L	1-1 D
Aimore RS	0-0 D	1-0 W
CE Bento Goncalves	1-1 D	1-2 L
Santa Cruz RS	0-0 D	2-0 W
Veranopolis	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brasil de Pelotas (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EC Pelotas

DLLDWDDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-2	4	9	L
13/09	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-2	2-3	15	4	L
10/09	Aimore RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
05/09	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
03/09	Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
27/08	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
23/08	Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-2	3-3	5	4	D
16/08	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-2	2	8	L
14/08	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
09/08	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-1	7	6	D

Brasil de Pelotas

DDLWDDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
13/09	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	8	8	W
01/09	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
28/08	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	2-2	5	9	D
23/08	Aimore RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	7	10	W
20/08	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	1-2	10	8	L
13/08	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
09/08	Passo Fundo Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EC Pelotas vs Brasil de Pelotas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EC Pelotas win (34%). Probabilities: EC Pelotas 34%, draw 33%, Brasil de Pelotas 33%.

How many goals are expected in EC Pelotas vs Brasil de Pelotas?

The model expects 2.01 goals (EC Pelotas 1.01 · Brasil de Pelotas 1), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in EC Pelotas vs Brasil de Pelotas?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.