Football · Greece Super League 2 · 06/09, 17:00

Prediction: Panionios vs Asteras Tripolis B

Team pages: Panionios

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Panionios1.58
Asteras Tripolis B0.6
1X2
61% 26% 13%
Panionios Draw Asteras Tripolis B
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Panionios 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLDWWDLLLW
Asteras Tripolis B 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDWDLWDLDL
Head-to-head
Panionios 0–2–0 Asteras Tripolis B (2 last)
  • Panionios2-2Asteras Tripolis B
  • Asteras Tripolis B0-0Panionios
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Panionios 1516 · Asteras Tripolis B 1474
PanioniosDrawAsteras Tripolis B
Our model60%27%13%
Market62%24%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Panionios (rating 1516 vs 1474).
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PanioniosAsteras Tripolis B
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.71 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.42.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.4 / 0.13.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Panionios 020 Asteras Tripolis B

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/11/24
Greece Super League 2
Panionios2-2
HT 0-1
Asteras Tripolis B
23/09/24
Greece Super League 2
Asteras Tripolis B0-0
HT 0-0
Panionios

Standings · Greece Super League 2

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Larissa 000 000
1 Anagennisi Karditsas 000 000
1 Apollon Kalamarias 000 000
1 Asteras Tripolis B 000 000
1 Athens Kallithea 000 000
1 Marko 000 000
1 Hellas Syrou 000 000
1 Nestos Chrisoupolis 000 000
1 Niki Volou 000 000
1 Olympiacos B 000 000
1 Panionios 000 000
1 Panserraikos 000 000
1 Panthrakikos 000 000
1 PAOK Salonika B 000 000
1 Pyrgos AFC 000 000
1 Zakynthos 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Panionios

WLDWWDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/03 Olympiacos B
Greece Super League 2
1-0 3-0 12 W
15/03 Marko
Greece Super League 2
1-1 1-2 43 L
07/03 Kalamata
Greece Super League 2
0-1 0-1 612 L
01/03 Olympiacos B
Greece Super League 2
0-2 1-2 78 L
21/02 Marko
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-0 34 D
15/02 Kalamata
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-0 610 W
25/01 Kissamikos
Greece Super League 2
1-0 3-0 114 W
18/01 Hellas Syrou
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-0 117 D
11/01 Kalamata
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-2 38 L
21/12 Egaleo
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-0 27 W

Asteras Tripolis B

LDWDLWDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/03 Niki Volou
Greece Super League 2
0-2 0-3 44 L
14/03 Anagennisi Karditsas
Greece Super League 2
1-1 2-2 62 D
08/03 Iraklis 1908 FC
Greece Super League 2
0-1 0-2 12 L
28/02 Niki Volou
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-1 75 D
22/02 Anagennisi Karditsas
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-0 21 W
14/02 Iraklis 1908 FC
Greece Super League 2
0-1 0-2 34 L
24/01 Kavala
Greece Super League 2
0-1 1-1 35 D
17/01 Kampaniakos
Greece Super League 2
2-0 4-1 37 W
11/01 Giannina
Greece Super League 2
1-1 1-1 95 D
22/12 Anagennisi Karditsas
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-1 23 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Panionios vs Asteras Tripolis B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Panionios win (61%). Probabilities: Panionios 61%, draw 26%, Asteras Tripolis B 13%.

How many goals are expected in Panionios vs Asteras Tripolis B?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Panionios 1.58 · Asteras Tripolis B 0.6), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Panionios vs Asteras Tripolis B?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.