Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 01/09, 20:45

Prediction: Zrinjski Mostar vs Borac Banja Luka

Team pages: Zrinjski Mostar · Borac Banja Luka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Zrinjski Mostar1.8

Borac Banja Luka0.69

1X2

64% 23% 13%

Zrinjski Mostar Draw Borac Banja Luka

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Zrinjski Mostar 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWWWWW

Borac Banja Luka 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDWWWD

Head-to-head

Zrinjski Mostar 3–1–2 Borac Banja Luka (6 last)

Zrinjski Mostar1-1Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka3-0Zrinjski Mostar
Borac Banja Luka0-1Zrinjski Mostar
Zrinjski Mostar2-1Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka0-1Zrinjski Mostar
Zrinjski Mostar0-1Borac Banja Luka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zrinjski Mostar 1611 · Borac Banja Luka 1596

	Zrinjski Mostar	Draw	Borac Banja Luka
Our model	63%	24%	13%
Market	64%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Zrinjski Mostar: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zrinjski Mostar	Borac Banja Luka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.6	1.6 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 5.1	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.10

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.40▼	Bet365 1.40
X	3.40 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	5.25 → 6.50▲	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:13 +4’	1.60	3.40	5.25
16:31 +5’	1.40▼	4.10▲	6.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zrinjski Mostar 3–1–2 Borac Banja Luka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Zrinjski Mostar	1-1 HT 0-0	Borac Banja Luka
14/02/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Borac Banja Luka	3-0 HT 0-0	Zrinjski Mostar
21/12/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Borac Banja Luka	0-1 HT 0-0	Zrinjski Mostar
27/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Zrinjski Mostar	2-1 HT 1-1	Borac Banja Luka
22/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Super Cup	Borac Banja Luka	0-1 HT 0-0	Zrinjski Mostar
06/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Zrinjski Mostar	0-1 HT 0-1	Borac Banja Luka

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zrinjski Mostar	4	4	0	0	10	2	12
2	Siroki Brijeg	4	2	2	0	5	3	8
3	Borac Banja Luka	3	2	1	0	7	3	7
4	FK Sarajevo	3	1	1	1	1	1	4
5	Zeljeznicar	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
6	FK Sloga Doboj	3	1	1	1	1	2	4
7	NK Celik Zenica	4	1	0	3	5	6	3
8	BSK Banja Luka	4	1	0	3	3	4	3
9	Velez Mostar	4	1	0	3	3	8	3
10	Radnik Bijeljina	4	0	2	2	4	9	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zrinjski Mostar	Borac Banja Luka
FK Sarajevo	1-0 W	1-0 W
Zeljeznicar	2-0 W	1-0 W
Radnik Bijeljina	5-1 W	2-2 D
NK Celik Zenica	2-1 W	2-0 W
Velez Mostar	3-0 W	3-1 W
HSK Posusje	0-0 D	2-0 W
Siroki Brijeg	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zrinjski Mostar

LWWDDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
23/08	Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
16/08	Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-1	5-1	2	1	W
09/08	NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-1	2-1	8	1	W
26/05	Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-0	3-0	2	4	W
22/05	FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-2	2-2	4	7	D
16/05	HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
01/05	Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-0	2-0	8	5	W
26/04	Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L

Borac Banja Luka

DWWWWDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	2-2	9	3	D
23/08	NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
09/08	Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
26/05	HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
22/05	Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
16/05	Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
10/05	Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
03/05	FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
26/04	FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-0	3-1	7	3	W
22/04	Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-1	3	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zrinjski Mostar vs Borac Banja Luka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zrinjski Mostar win (64%). Probabilities: Zrinjski Mostar 64%, draw 23%, Borac Banja Luka 13%.

How many goals are expected in Zrinjski Mostar vs Borac Banja Luka?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Zrinjski Mostar 1.8 · Borac Banja Luka 0.69), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Zrinjski Mostar vs Borac Banja Luka?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.