Football · Argentina Nacional B · 13/09, 23:30
Prediction: San Martin de Tucuman vs Agropecuario
Team pages: San Martin de Tucuman · Agropecuario
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
San Martin de Tucuman1.37
Agropecuario0.74
1X2
San Martin de Tucuman
Draw
Agropecuario
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
San Martin de Tucuman
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Agropecuario
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Martin de Tucuman
2–3–1
Agropecuario
(6 last)
- Agropecuario2-0San Martin de Tucuman
- San Martin de Tucuman1-0Agropecuario
- Agropecuario0-1San Martin de Tucuman
- San Martin de Tucuman1-1Agropecuario
- Agropecuario0-0San Martin de Tucuman
- Agropecuario1-1San Martin de Tucuman
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Martin de Tucuman 1492 · Agropecuario 1524
| San Martin de Tucuman | Draw | Agropecuario | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 30% | 19% |
| Market | 50% | 31% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours San Martin de Tucuman: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Martin de Tucuman | Agropecuario | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.9 | 2.2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin de Tucuman 2–3–1 Agropecuario
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Agropecuario | 2-0 HT 1-0 | San Martin de Tucuman |
| 17/09/24 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Agropecuario |
| 27/04/24 Argentina Nacional B | Agropecuario | 0-1 HT 0-1 | San Martin de Tucuman |
| 31/07/23 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Agropecuario |
| 25/03/23 Argentina Nacional B | Agropecuario | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin de Tucuman |
| 14/05/22 Argentina Nacional B | Agropecuario | 1-1 HT 1-1 | San Martin de Tucuman |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 49 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 49 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 49 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 45 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 25 | 41 |
| 7 | San Martin SJ | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 41 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 30 | 40 |
| 9 | CA Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 28 | 40 |
| 10 | Atletico Rafaela | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 22 | 39 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 27 | 26 | 36 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 24 | 35 |
| 13 | Almagro | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 33 | 35 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 33 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 28 | 5 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 29 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 30 | 27 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 46 | 23 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Martin de Tucuman | Agropecuario |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Suarez | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| CA Guemes | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Chacarita Juniors | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| San Martin SJ | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Nueva Chicago | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Club Atletico Temperley | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Maipu | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Agropecuario (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Martin de Tucuman
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 26/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 17/07 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
Agropecuario
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/09 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 22/08 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 08/08 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 17/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Martin de Tucuman vs Agropecuario?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin de Tucuman win (50%). Probabilities: San Martin de Tucuman 50%, draw 31%, Agropecuario 19%.
How many goals are expected in San Martin de Tucuman vs Agropecuario?
The model expects 2.11 goals (San Martin de Tucuman 1.37 · Agropecuario 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in San Martin de Tucuman vs Agropecuario?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.