Football · Jordan Division 1 · 30/10, 16:00

Prediction: Al Hashemeya vs Al-Yarmouk

Team pages: Al Hashemeya · Al-Yarmouk

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Al Hashemeya1.16
Al-Yarmouk1.39
1X2
30% 29% 41%
Al Hashemeya Draw Al-Yarmouk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Hashemeya 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWWDLDWD
Al-Yarmouk 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWDDLW
Head-to-head
Al Hashemeya 3–3 Al-Yarmouk (6 last)
  • Al Hashemeya1-0Al-Yarmouk
  • Al-Yarmouk3-4Al Hashemeya
  • Al-Yarmouk3-1Al Hashemeya
  • Al Hashemeya0-1Al-Yarmouk
  • Al-Yarmouk0-1Al Hashemeya
  • Al-Yarmouk4-1Al Hashemeya
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Hashemeya 1492 · Al-Yarmouk 1594
Al HashemeyaDrawAl-Yarmouk
Our model30%29%41%
Market30%29%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Yarmouk (rating 1492 vs 1594).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al HashemeyaAl-Yarmouk
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.11.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.52.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.15.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Hashemeya 3–0–3 Al-Yarmouk

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/09/25
Jordan Division 1
Al Hashemeya1-0
HT 0-0
Al-Yarmouk
27/11/24
Jordan Division 1
Al-Yarmouk3-4
HT 1-0
Al Hashemeya
26/11/23
Jordan Division 1
Al-Yarmouk3-1
HT 0-1
Al Hashemeya
25/09/23
Jordan Cup
Al Hashemeya0-1
HT 0-1
Al-Yarmouk
09/10/22
Jordan Division 1
Al-Yarmouk0-1
HT 0-0
Al Hashemeya
13/03/19
Jordan Cup
Al-Yarmouk4-1
HT 1-1
Al Hashemeya

Standings · Jordan Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Jerash SC 6420 10314
2 Amman FC 6420 12614
3 Al-Yarmouk 6321 9611
4 Al Hashemeya 6231 549
4 Ma'an 6231 549
6 Ittihad Al-Ramtha 6231 549
6 Sahl Horan SC 6231 549
8 Al Ahli Amman 6213 867
9 Sama Al Sarhan 6213 467
10 Al-Sareeh 6033 483
11 Hay Al-Amir Hassan 6033 173
12 Shabab Al-Aqaba SC 6006 5150

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl HashemeyaAl-Yarmouk
Ittihad Al-Ramtha 1-1 D 2-1 W
Shabab Al-Aqaba SC 2-0 W 2-1 W
Ma'an 1-1 D 2-1 W
Amman FC 0-3 L 1-1 D
Sama Club 0-3 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Al-Yarmouk (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Hashemeya

WLLWWDLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 Ittihad Al-Ramtha
Jordan Division 1
0-0 1-1 15 D
15/10 Shabab Al-Aqaba SC
Jordan Division 1
2-0 2-0 34 W
02/10 Hay Al-Amir Hassan
Jordan Division 1
0-0 0-0 30 D
26/09 Jerash SC
Jordan Division 1
0-1 0-2 46 L
18/09 Ma'an
Jordan Division 1
0-0 1-1 33 D
11/09 Al Ahli Amman
Jordan Division 1
0-0 1-0 26 W
17/12 Al Tura
Jordan Division 1
4-1 4-1 31 W
11/12 Amman FC
Jordan Division 1
0-3 0-3 44 L
02/12 Sama Club
Jordan Division 1
0-0 0-3 72 L
25/11 Ittihad Al-Ramtha
Jordan Division 1
1-0 1-0 52 W

Al-Yarmouk

WWWWWWDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/10 Sahl Horan SC
Jordan Division 1
1-0 2-0 53 W
16/10 Sama Al Sarhan
Jordan Division 1
0-1 0-1 66 L
01/10 Amman FC
Jordan Division 1
0-1 1-1 96 D
25/09 Al-Sareeh
Jordan Division 1
– 2-2 –– D
18/09 Ittihad Al-Ramtha
Jordan Division 1
1-1 2-1 37 W
11/09 Shabab Al-Aqaba SC
Jordan Division 1
1-1 2-1 118 W
18/12 Amman FC
Jordan Division 1
2-0 2-1 43 W
10/12 Sama Club
Jordan Division 1
1-0 1-0 32 W
03/12 Ittihad Al-Ramtha
Jordan Division 1
1-1 3-2 16 W
24/11 Ma'an
Jordan Division 1
0-0 2-1 25 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Hashemeya vs Al-Yarmouk?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al-Yarmouk win (41%). Probabilities: Al Hashemeya 30%, draw 29%, Al-Yarmouk 41%.

How many goals are expected in Al Hashemeya vs Al-Yarmouk?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Al Hashemeya 1.16 · Al-Yarmouk 1.39), with a 58% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Hashemeya vs Al-Yarmouk?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.