Football · Tanzania First Division · 13/11, 14:00

Prediction: Transit Camp vs Mbeya Kwanza FC

Team pages: Transit Camp

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Transit Camp1.58

Mbeya Kwanza FC1.17

1X2

45% 28% 27%

Transit Camp Draw Mbeya Kwanza FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Transit Camp 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWLLLL

Mbeya Kwanza FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLDLWLL

Head-to-head

Transit Camp 0–1–5 Mbeya Kwanza FC (6 last)

Mbeya Kwanza FC1-1Transit Camp
Transit Camp2-3Mbeya Kwanza FC
Mbeya Kwanza FC4-1Transit Camp
Transit Camp1-2Mbeya Kwanza FC
Mbeya Kwanza FC2-0Transit Camp
Transit Camp1-2Mbeya Kwanza FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Transit Camp 1483 · Mbeya Kwanza FC 1447

	Transit Camp	Draw	Mbeya Kwanza FC
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	45%	29%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mbeya Kwanza FC: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Transit Camp	Mbeya Kwanza FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 3.8	– / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.10

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:51 +11’	2.00	3.10	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Transit Camp 0–1–5 Mbeya Kwanza FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Tanzania First Division	Mbeya Kwanza FC	1-1	Transit Camp
08/11/25 Tanzania First Division	Transit Camp	2-3 HT 1-1	Mbeya Kwanza FC
30/03/25 Tanzania First Division	Mbeya Kwanza FC	4-1 HT 4-1	Transit Camp
22/11/24 Tanzania First Division	Transit Camp	1-2 HT 0-1	Mbeya Kwanza FC
28/04/24 Tanzania First Division	Mbeya Kwanza FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Transit Camp
29/12/23 Tanzania First Division	Transit Camp	1-2 HT 0-0	Mbeya Kwanza FC

Standings · Tanzania First Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KMC FC	9	5	4	0	17	6	19
2	Mtibwa Sugar	9	5	3	1	10	6	18
3	Tanzania Prisons	9	5	2	2	14	6	17
4	Bandari Tanzania	9	5	2	2	12	5	17
5	Rhino Rangers FC	9	4	3	2	7	4	15
6	Transit Camp	9	4	1	4	15	13	13
7	B19 FC	9	3	3	3	9	8	12
8	Mbuni FC	9	3	2	4	12	16	11
9	IAA SC	9	2	5	2	9	11	11
10	Stand United	8	3	2	3	8	10	11
11	Gunners FC	9	2	5	2	7	7	11
12	Bigman FC	9	3	1	5	12	16	10
13	Ken Gold FC	9	2	3	4	11	14	9
14	Mbeya Kwanza FC	9	2	1	6	10	15	7
15	Songea United	9	1	3	5	4	11	6
16	TMA FC	8	1	2	5	3	12	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Transit Camp	Mbeya Kwanza FC
Mbuni FC	2-3 L	2-2 D
Tanzania Prisons	1-2 L	1-2 L
Ken Gold FC	2-0 W	1-3 L
Bigman FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Mtibwa Sugar	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Transit Camp (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Transit Camp

LDWWWWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Mbuni FC Tanzania First Division	1-1	2-3	4	5	L
30/10	Songea United Tanzania First Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
23/10	Tanzania Prisons Tanzania First Division	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
17/10	KMC FC Tanzania First Division	–	1-2	3	6	L
12/10	Ken Gold FC Tanzania First Division	–	2-0	2	1	W
02/10	IAA SC Tanzania First Division	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
26/09	Bigman FC Tanzania First Division	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
20/09	TMA FC Tanzania First Division	–	1-0	7	0	W
14/09	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania First Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/06	Ken Gold FC Tanzania First Division	0-1	0-3	5	3	L

Mbeya Kwanza FC

DLLWLDLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Gunners FC Tanzania First Division	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
01/11	Bigman FC Tanzania First Division	1-1	1-2	5	1	L
23/10	B19 FC Tanzania First Division	–	2-1	8	3	W
17/10	Ken Gold FC Tanzania First Division	–	1-3	8	2	L
10/10	Mbuni FC Tanzania First Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania First Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
26/09	Bandari Tanzania Tanzania First Division	–	2-1	0	4	W
18/09	Tanzania Prisons Tanzania First Division	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
12/09	Stand United Tanzania First Division	–	1-2	4	3	L
19/06	Kagera Sugar Tanzania First Division	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Transit Camp vs Mbeya Kwanza FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Transit Camp win (45%). Probabilities: Transit Camp 45%, draw 28%, Mbeya Kwanza FC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Transit Camp vs Mbeya Kwanza FC?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Transit Camp 1.58 · Mbeya Kwanza FC 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Transit Camp vs Mbeya Kwanza FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.