Football · Australia Queensland Premier League Women · 05/09, 11:00
Prediction: Caboolture FC (W) vs Mitchelton FC (W)
Team pages: Caboolture FC (W) · Mitchelton FC (W)
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Caboolture FC (W)2.14
Mitchelton FC (W)0.99
1X2
Caboolture FC (W)
Draw
Mitchelton FC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Caboolture FC (W)
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Mitchelton FC (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Caboolture FC (W)
1–1–0
Mitchelton FC (W)
(2 last)
- Caboolture FC (W)0-0Mitchelton FC (W)
- Mitchelton FC (W)0-1Caboolture FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caboolture FC (W) 1542 · Mitchelton FC (W) 1536
| Caboolture FC (W) | Draw | Mitchelton FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 64% | 19% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Caboolture FC (W) | Mitchelton FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.7 | 2.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.6 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caboolture FC (W) 1–1–0 Mitchelton FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Caboolture FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mitchelton FC (W) |
| 30/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Mitchelton FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Caboolture FC (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Lakes United (W) | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 69 | 13 | 44 |
| 2 | Caboolture FC (W) | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 45 | 13 | 41 |
| 3 | The Gap NPL (W) | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 50 | 46 | 31 |
| 4 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 28 |
| 5 | Grange Thistle (W) | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 33 | 24 |
| 6 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 32 | 24 |
| 7 | Peninsula Power (W) | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 49 | 23 |
| 8 | Virginia United SC (W) | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 40 | 17 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning (W) | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 55 | 15 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Caboolture FC (W) | Mitchelton FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| North Lakes United (W) | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 2-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Virginia United SC (W) | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Grange Thistle (W) | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Peninsula Power (W) | 4-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Logan Lightning (W) | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Palm Beach SC (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| The Gap NPL (W) | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caboolture FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 14/08 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 02/08 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 17/07 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
4-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
Mitchelton FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 14/08 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/06 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/06 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caboolture FC (W) vs Mitchelton FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Caboolture FC (W) win (63%). Probabilities: Caboolture FC (W) 63%, draw 20%, Mitchelton FC (W) 16%.
How many goals are expected in Caboolture FC (W) vs Mitchelton FC (W)?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Caboolture FC (W) 2.14 · Mitchelton FC (W) 0.99), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Caboolture FC (W) vs Mitchelton FC (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.