Football · Tunisia League 1 · 17/09, 17:00

Prediction: Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain

Team pages: Stade Tunisien · Club Africain

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.58Total
Stade Tunisien0.71
Club Africain0.87
1X2
28% 35% 37%
Stade Tunisien Draw Club Africain
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 22%
Recent form · 10 last
Stade Tunisien 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDLLLDWDLW
Club Africain 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WWDWDWWDWW
Head-to-head
Stade Tunisien 1–3–2 Club Africain (6 last)
  • Club Africain2-0Stade Tunisien
  • Stade Tunisien0-0Club Africain
  • Club Africain1-0Stade Tunisien
  • Stade Tunisien1-0Club Africain
  • Stade Tunisien1-1Club Africain
  • Club Africain0-0Stade Tunisien
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stade Tunisien 1489 · Club Africain 1589
Stade TunisienDrawClub Africain
Our model26%38%36%
Market29%33%38%
Estimated total (ours) 1.58 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Africain (rating 1489 vs 1589).
  • H2H favours Club Africain: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Stade TunisienClub Africain
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 11.2 / 0.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.2 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.32.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.34.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stade Tunisien 132 Club Africain

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Tunisia League 1
Club Africain2-0
HT 0-0
Stade Tunisien
06/11/25
Tunisia League 1
Stade Tunisien0-0
HT 0-0
Club Africain
13/03/25
Tunisia League 1
Club Africain1-0
HT 0-0
Stade Tunisien
30/11/24
Tunisia League 1
Stade Tunisien1-0
HT 1-0
Club Africain
14/06/24
Tunisia League 1
Stade Tunisien1-1
HT 0-1
Club Africain
13/04/24
Tunisia League 1
Club Africain0-0
HT 0-0
Stade Tunisien

Standings · Tunisia League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Esperance de Tunis 4301 769
2 Progres Sakiet Eddaier 4220 418
3 Bizertin 3210 317
4 JS Omrane 4211 547
5 Club Africain 2200 206
6 US Monastir 3120 545
7 Avenir de La Marsa 4112 234
8 Stade Tunisien 3111 544
9 CS Sfaxien 2110 324
10 US Ben Guerdane 2110 544
11 Etoile Sportive Sahel 4112 564
12 ES Zarzis 2101 223
13 ES Metlaoui 4103 243
14 Olympique de Beja 4022 352
15 ES Hammam Sousse 4013 151
16 CS Hammam Lif 3003 030

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStade TunisienClub Africain
ES Hammam Sousse 3-1 W 1-0 W
US Monastir 1-2 L 0-0 D
AS Gabes 1-0 W 2-0 W
US Ben Guerdane 0-0 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Club Africain (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stade Tunisien

DDLLLDWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 ES Hammam Sousse
Tunisia League 1
1-1 3-1 45 W
29/08 US Monastir
Tunisia League 1
1-2 1-2 34 L
22/08 CS Sfaxien
Tunisia League 1
0-1 1-1 D
13/05 AS Gabes
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 W
08/05 US Ben Guerdane
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 D
03/05 Club Africain
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-2 27 L
29/04 JS Omrane
Tunisia League 1
0-1 1-2 64 L
26/04 CS Sfaxien
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-1 35 L
11/04 Bizertin
Tunisia League 1
1-1 1-1 36 D
04/04 ES Zarzis
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 26 D

Club Africain

WWDWDWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 ES Hammam Sousse
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 54 W
23/08 ES Metlaoui
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 W
14/05 Olympique de Beja
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-1 D
10/05 Esperance de Tunis
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 65 W
03/05 Stade Tunisien
Tunisia League 1
0-0 2-0 37 W
29/04 AS Soliman
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-1 23 D
26/04 JS Kairouanaise
Tunisia League 1
1-0 2-0 62 W
11/04 US Monastir
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 55 D
05/04 AS Gabes
Tunisia League 1
1-0 2-0 86 W
08/03 US Ben Guerdane
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Africain win (37%). Probabilities: Stade Tunisien 28%, draw 35%, Club Africain 37%.

How many goals are expected in Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain?

The model expects 1.58 goals (Stade Tunisien 0.71 · Club Africain 0.87), with a 57% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.