Football · Mexico Liga Premier A · 14/11, 22:30

Prediction: Ciervos FC vs La Tribu de Cd. Juárez

Team pages: Ciervos FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.38Total
Ciervos FC1.19
La Tribu de Cd. Juárez3.19
1X2
10% 13% 77%
Ciervos FC Draw La Tribu de Cd. Juárez
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Ciervos FC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLDLLWLLL
La Tribu de Cd. Juárez 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WLWWLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ciervos FC 1403 · La Tribu de Cd. Juárez 1566
Ciervos FCDrawLa Tribu de Cd. Juárez
Our model10%14%76%
Market10%13%77%
Estimated total (ours) 4.38 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours La Tribu de Cd. Juárez (rating 1403 vs 1566).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ciervos FCLa Tribu de Cd. Juárez
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 3.82.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.81.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/0/80%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.41.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 03.6 / 0.1

Standings · Mexico Liga Premier A · Liga Premier Serie A 26/27, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Dragones de Oaxaca 11731 271125
2 Artesanos Metepec FC 11731 21725
3 Acambaro 11623 321523
4 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 11461 171319
5 Halcones Negros FC 11515 221817
6 Guerreros del Pacifico 11434 212017
7 Real Refineros FC 11344 202515
8 Club Calor 11416 202715
9 Ciervos FC 11119 13405
10 Club Canoneros Marina 100010 5410

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCiervos FCLa Tribu de Cd. Juárez
FC Santiago 0-3 L 0-2 L
ACF Zapotlanejo 3-5 L 4-0 W
Club Canoneros Marina 3-1 W 8-0 W
Artesanos Metepec FC 0-3 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: La Tribu de Cd. Juárez (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ciervos FC

LLLDLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Saltillo Soccer FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
1-2 2-7 –– L
31/10 FC Santiago
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-2 0-3 03 L
25/10 ACF Zapotlanejo
Mexico Liga Premier A
1-2 3-5 –– L
17/10 Club Canoneros Marina
Mexico Liga Premier A
2-0 3-1 32 W
12/10 Acambaro
Mexico Liga Premier A
1-2 2-5 43 L
03/10 Halcones Negros FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-3 0-5 42 L
25/09 Real Refineros CDS
Mexico Liga Premier A
2-1 3-3 –– D
19/09 Club Calor
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-3 0-4 63 L
12/09 Artesanos Metepec FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-1 0-3 –– L
05/09 Guerreros del Pacifico
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-2 0-2 –– L

La Tribu de Cd. Juárez

WLWWLLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Club Canoneros Marina
Mexico Liga Premier A
3-0 8-0 43 W
31/10 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-2 1-3 42 L
25/10 Artesanos Metepec FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
1-0 2-0 –– W
18/10 Héroes de Zaci FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
2-0 5-0 –– W
11/10 FC Santiago
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-0 0-2 45 L
03/10 Correcaminos II
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-2 1-3 43 L
27/09 Real Apodaca FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
3-0 3-1 –– W
20/09 Vaqueros Reynosa
Mexico Liga Premier A
1-0 2-1 42 W
14/09 Guerreros de Autlán
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-0 1-2 28 L
06/09 ACF Zapotlanejo
Mexico Liga Premier A
2-0 4-0 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ciervos FC vs La Tribu de Cd. Juárez?

According to our model, the most likely result is an La Tribu de Cd. Juárez win (77%). Probabilities: Ciervos FC 10%, draw 13%, La Tribu de Cd. Juárez 77%.

How many goals are expected in Ciervos FC vs La Tribu de Cd. Juárez?

The model expects 4.38 goals (Ciervos FC 1.19 · La Tribu de Cd. Juárez 3.19), with a 54% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Ciervos FC vs La Tribu de Cd. Juárez?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.