Football · Mexico Liga Premier A · 15/11, 01:00

Prediction: Halcones Negros FC vs ACF Zapotlanejo

Team pages: Halcones Negros FC · ACF Zapotlanejo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.89Total
Halcones Negros FC2.04
ACF Zapotlanejo1.85
1X2
43% 22% 35%
Halcones Negros FC Draw ACF Zapotlanejo
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Halcones Negros FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWLLWL
ACF Zapotlanejo 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Halcones Negros FC 1501 · ACF Zapotlanejo 1532
Halcones Negros FCDrawACF Zapotlanejo
Our model43%22%35%
Market43%22%35%
Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Halcones Negros FCACF Zapotlanejo
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.82.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.81 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.42.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.43.5 / 0.2

Standings · Mexico Liga Premier A · Liga Premier Serie A 26/27, Group 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Dragones de Oaxaca 11731 271125
2 Artesanos Metepec FC 11731 21725
3 Acambaro 11623 321523
4 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 11461 171319
5 Guerreros del Pacifico 12444 222118
6 Halcones Negros FC 11515 221817
7 Real Refineros FC 11344 202515
8 Club Calor 12417 203215
9 Ciervos FC 11119 13405
10 Club Canoneros Marina 100010 5410

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHalcones Negros FCACF Zapotlanejo
FC Santiago 0-4 L 1-0 W
Real Apodaca FC 1-0 W 4-1 W
Real Refineros FC 3-2 W 1-3 L
Ciervos FC 5-0 W 5-3 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Halcones Negros FC

LWLWWWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 FC Santiago
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-1 0-4 33 L
03/11 Real Apodaca FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-0 1-0 93 W
25/10 Guerreros de Autlán
Mexico Liga Premier A
1-1 1-2 06 L
18/10 Acambaro
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-2 0-6 –– L
11/10 Real Refineros FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
2-2 3-2 19 W
03/10 Ciervos FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
3-0 5-0 102 W
27/09 Club Calor
Mexico Liga Premier A
3-0 7-0 30 W
20/09 Artesanos Metepec FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
1-1 1-2 52 L
13/09 Guerreros del Pacifico
Mexico Liga Premier A
1-0 3-0 –– W
06/09 Dragones de Oaxaca
Mexico Liga Premier A
1-1 1-2 44 L

ACF Zapotlanejo

LWDWWLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Real Refineros FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
1-2 1-3 66 L
31/10 Club Canoneros Marina
Mexico Liga Premier A
2-1 4-2 50 W
25/10 Ciervos FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
2-1 5-3 –– W
18/10 Saltillo Soccer FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
2-2 3-2 –– W
11/10 Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-3 2-4 –– L
01/10 Héroes de Zaci FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
1-0 1-0 –– W
26/09 FC Santiago
Mexico Liga Premier A
1-0 1-0 44 W
19/09 Correcaminos II
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-0 1-1 36 D
12/09 Real Apodaca FC
Mexico Liga Premier A
1-0 4-1 43 W
06/09 La Tribu de Cd. Juárez
Mexico Liga Premier A
0-2 0-4 93 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Halcones Negros FC vs ACF Zapotlanejo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Halcones Negros FC win (43%). Probabilities: Halcones Negros FC 43%, draw 22%, ACF Zapotlanejo 35%.

How many goals are expected in Halcones Negros FC vs ACF Zapotlanejo?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Halcones Negros FC 2.04 · ACF Zapotlanejo 1.85), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Halcones Negros FC vs ACF Zapotlanejo?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.