Prediction: Dragones de Oaxaca vs Guerreros de Autlán
Team pages: Dragones de Oaxaca · Guerreros de Autlán
| Dragones de Oaxaca | Draw | Guerreros de Autlán | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 21% | 19% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dragones de Oaxaca (rating 1551 vs 1503).
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dragones de Oaxaca | Guerreros de Autlán | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 2.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.4 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Standings · Mexico Liga Premier A · Liga Premier Serie A 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Artesanos Metepec FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Acambaro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 19 |
| 5 | Guerreros del Pacifico | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 18 |
| 6 | Halcones Negros FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 17 |
| 7 | Real Refineros FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 15 |
| 8 | Club Calor | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 15 |
| 9 | Ciervos FC | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 5 |
| 10 | Club Canoneros Marina | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dragones de Oaxaca | Guerreros de Autlán |
|---|---|---|
| Real Apodaca FC | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Mineros de Fresnillo | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Guerreros del Pacifico | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Real Refineros FC | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Halcones Negros FC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Dragones de Oaxaca (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dragones de Oaxaca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Real Apodaca FC Mexico Liga Premier A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/11 | Mineros de Fresnillo Mexico Liga Premier A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | Héroes de Zaci FC Mexico Liga Premier A |
3-0 | 6-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 18/10 | Artesanos Metepec FC Mexico Liga Premier A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 13/10 | Guerreros del Pacifico Mexico Liga Premier A |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Real Refineros FC Mexico Liga Premier A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 28/09 | CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos Mexico Liga Premier A |
2-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | Club Canoneros Marina Mexico Liga Premier A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 14/09 | Acambaro Mexico Liga Premier A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Halcones Negros FC Mexico Liga Premier A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
Guerreros de Autlán
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Guerreros del Pacifico Mexico Liga Premier A |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/10 | Real Refineros FC Mexico Liga Premier A |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | Halcones Negros FC Mexico Liga Premier A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Mineros de Fresnillo Mexico Liga Premier A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 05/10 | FC Santiago Mexico Liga Premier A |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/09 | Correcaminos II Mexico Liga Premier A |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/09 | Real Apodaca FC Mexico Liga Premier A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | La Tribu de Cd. Juárez Mexico Liga Premier A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 07/09 | Vaqueros Reynosa Mexico Liga Premier A |
2-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | ACF Zapotlanejo Mexico Liga Premier A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dragones de Oaxaca vs Guerreros de Autlán?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dragones de Oaxaca win (60%). Probabilities: Dragones de Oaxaca 60%, draw 22%, Guerreros de Autlán 18%.
How many goals are expected in Dragones de Oaxaca vs Guerreros de Autlán?
The model expects 3.63 goals (Dragones de Oaxaca 2.36 · Guerreros de Autlán 1.28), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dragones de Oaxaca vs Guerreros de Autlán?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.