Football · Algeria Division 1 · 04/09, 18:00
Prediction: USM Khenchela vs USM Alger
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
USM Khenchela1.39
USM Alger0.95
1X2
USM Khenchela
Draw
USM Alger
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
USM Khenchela
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
USM Alger
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
USM Khenchela
3–1–2
USM Alger
(6 last)
- USM Khenchela2-1USM Alger
- USM Alger1-1USM Khenchela
- USM Khenchela1-0USM Alger
- USM Alger3-0USM Khenchela
- USM Khenchela1-0USM Alger
- USM Alger3-0USM Khenchela
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · USM Khenchela 1532 · USM Alger 1493
| USM Khenchela | Draw | USM Alger | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 46% | 29% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours USM Khenchela: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| USM Khenchela | USM Alger | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 2.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · USM Khenchela 3–1–2 USM Alger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 Algeria Division 1 | USM Khenchela | 2-1 HT 2-1 | USM Alger |
| 13/09/25 Algeria Division 1 | USM Alger | 1-1 HT 0-1 | USM Khenchela |
| 11/06/25 Algeria Division 1 | USM Khenchela | 1-0 HT 0-0 | USM Alger |
| 05/02/25 Algeria Division 1 | USM Alger | 3-0 HT 1-0 | USM Khenchela |
| 16/02/24 Algeria Division 1 | USM Khenchela | 1-0 HT 1-0 | USM Alger |
| 14/10/23 Algeria Division 1 | USM Alger | 3-0 HT 0-0 | USM Khenchela |
Standings · Algeria Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASO Chlef | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CR Temouchent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Constantine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Ben Aknoun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Setif | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JS El Biar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JS Kabylie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JS Saoura | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MB Rouissat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MC Alger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MC Oran | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olympique Akbou | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Biskra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | USM Alger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | USM Khenchela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | USM Khenchela | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|
| MB Rouissat | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| CR Belouizdad | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| ES Mostaganem | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Paradou AC | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| MC Alger | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
USM Khenchela
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | MB Rouissat Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | USM Alger Algeria Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | CS Constantine Algeria Division 1 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 08/05 | MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/05 | CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 17/04 | JS Saoura Algeria Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | ES Mostaganem Algeria Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 05/04 | Paradou AC Algeria Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/03 | MC Alger Algeria Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/03 | JS Kabylie Algeria Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 9 | W |
USM Alger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | MC Oran Algeria Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 04/06 | ES Ben Aknoun Algeria Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 02/06 | CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | MB Rouissat Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/05 | USM Khenchela Algeria Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Paradou AC Algeria Division 1 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/05 | Olympique Akbou Algeria Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 12/05 | ES Mostaganem Algeria Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 05/04 | ASO Chlef Algeria Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/04 | MC Alger Algeria Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in USM Khenchela vs USM Alger?
According to our model, the most likely result is a USM Khenchela win (46%). Probabilities: USM Khenchela 46%, draw 29%, USM Alger 25%.
How many goals are expected in USM Khenchela vs USM Alger?
The model expects 2.34 goals (USM Khenchela 1.39 · USM Alger 0.95), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in USM Khenchela vs USM Alger?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.