Football · Mexico Primera Premier · 14/11, 03:00

Prediction: CF Reboceros La Piedad vs Racing de Veracruz

Team pages: CF Reboceros La Piedad · Racing de Veracruz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

CF Reboceros La Piedad1.13

Racing de Veracruz1.74

1X2

24% 25% 51%

CF Reboceros La Piedad Draw Racing de Veracruz

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CF Reboceros La Piedad 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Racing de Veracruz 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CF Reboceros La Piedad 0–2 Racing de Veracruz (2 last)

Racing de Veracruz1-0CF Reboceros La Piedad
CF Reboceros La Piedad1-2Racing de Veracruz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CF Reboceros La Piedad 1492 · Racing de Veracruz 1566

	CF Reboceros La Piedad	Draw	Racing de Veracruz
Our model	24%	26%	50%
Market	24%	25%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing de Veracruz (rating 1492 vs 1566).
H2H favours Racing de Veracruz: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CF Reboceros La Piedad	Racing de Veracruz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	2.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.4	2.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.70

X3.60

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:01 +3’	3.70	3.60	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Reboceros La Piedad 0–0–2 Racing de Veracruz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/01/24 Mexico Segunda Division	Racing de Veracruz	1-0 HT 0-0	CF Reboceros La Piedad
13/08/23 Mexico Segunda Division	CF Reboceros La Piedad	1-2 HT 1-1	Racing de Veracruz

Standings · Mexico Primera Premier · Liga Primera Premier 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	10	6	3	1	24	9	25
2	Pioneros de Cancun	10	6	2	2	21	10	23
3	Club Celaya FC	10	5	3	2	18	10	21
4	Jaguares de Chiapas FC	10	3	6	1	11	10	16
5	Deportiva Venados	10	3	4	3	19	18	14
6	Chapulineros de Oaxaca	10	3	4	3	13	17	13
7	Montaneses FC	11	3	2	6	15	21	12
8	Inter Playa del Carmen	10	2	1	7	10	20	7
9	Tapachula Soconusco FC	10	2	0	8	11	28	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CF Reboceros La Piedad	Racing de Veracruz
Inter Playa del Carmen	1-2 L	1-0 W
Jaguares de Chiapas FC	2-2 D	1-1 D
Los Cabos United	2-1 W	0-0 D
Zacatepec FC	2-2 D	5-1 W
Irapuato	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Racing de Veracruz (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CF Reboceros La Piedad

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Pioneros de Cancun Mexico Primera Premier	0-1	0-1	12	3	L
31/10	Inter Playa del Carmen Mexico Primera Premier	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
25/10	Jaguares de Chiapas FC Mexico Primera Premier	2-0	2-2	4	5	D
17/10	Tigres de Álica FC Mexico Primera Premier	0-2	0-4	5	3	L
10/10	Los Cabos United Mexico Primera Premier	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
03/10	Zacatepec FC Mexico Primera Premier	0-1	2-2	1	1	D
22/09	Irapuato Mexico Primera Premier	0-1	2-3	11	6	L
12/09	Cordobes Futbol Club Mexico Primera Premier	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
05/09	H2O Purepechas FC Mexico Primera Premier	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
28/08	Tritones Vallarta MFC Mexico Primera Premier	0-0	1-0	6	2	W

Racing de Veracruz

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Irapuato Mexico Primera Premier	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
31/10	Zacatepec FC Mexico Primera Premier	2-0	5-1	5	1	W
24/10	Los Cabos United Mexico Primera Premier	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/10	Inter Playa del Carmen Mexico Primera Premier	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
10/10	Club Celaya FC Mexico Primera Premier	2-1	2-1	4	7	W
29/09	Jaguares de Chiapas FC Mexico Primera Premier	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
20/09	Deportiva Venados Mexico Primera Premier	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
13/09	Montaneses FC Mexico Primera Premier	0-1	3-1	2	3	W
06/09	Chapulineros de Oaxaca Mexico Primera Premier	1-1	5-1	4	2	W
30/08	Tapachula Soconusco FC Mexico Primera Premier	0-0	4-0	10	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CF Reboceros La Piedad vs Racing de Veracruz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Racing de Veracruz win (51%). Probabilities: CF Reboceros La Piedad 24%, draw 25%, Racing de Veracruz 51%.

How many goals are expected in CF Reboceros La Piedad vs Racing de Veracruz?

The model expects 2.87 goals (CF Reboceros La Piedad 1.13 · Racing de Veracruz 1.74), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CF Reboceros La Piedad vs Racing de Veracruz?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.