Football · Mexico Primera Premier · 15/11, 02:00

Prediction: Lobos ULM vs Deportiva Venados

Team pages: Deportiva Venados

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Lobos ULM1.63
Deportiva Venados1.36
1X2
43% 26% 31%
Lobos ULM Draw Deportiva Venados
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Lobos ULM 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLDLWLWWDW
Deportiva Venados 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWDDLLWWLD
Head-to-head
Lobos ULM 0–2–0 Deportiva Venados (2 last)
  • Deportiva Venados0-0Lobos ULM
  • Lobos ULM1-1Deportiva Venados
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lobos ULM 1510 · Deportiva Venados 1531
Lobos ULMDrawDeportiva Venados
Our model43%26%31%
Market43%26%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lobos ULMDeportiva Venados
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.31.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.51.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.21.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.84.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lobos ULM 0–2–0 Deportiva Venados

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/01/24
Mexico Segunda Division
Deportiva Venados0-0
HT 0-0
Lobos ULM
13/08/23
Mexico Segunda Division
Lobos ULM1-1
HT 0-0
Deportiva Venados

Standings · Mexico Primera Premier · Liga Primera Premier 26/27, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Racing de Veracruz 11731 26928
2 Pioneros de Cancun 10622 211023
3 Club Celaya FC 10532 181021
4 Jaguares de Chiapas FC 11371 121117
5 Deportiva Venados 10343 191814
6 Chapulineros de Oaxaca 10343 131713
7 Montaneses FC 11326 152112
8 Inter Playa del Carmen 10217 10207
9 Tapachula Soconusco FC 10208 11286

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLobos ULMDeportiva Venados
Inter Playa del Carmen 2-1 W 1-3 L
Montaneses FC 3-0 W 1-1 D
Tritones Vallarta MFC 2-1 W 1-1 D
Irapuato 0-3 L 1-2 L
Tigres de Álica FC 1-1 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lobos ULM (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lobos ULM

LLDLWLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Inter Playa del Carmen
Mexico Primera Premier
0-1 2-1 –– W
01/11 Chapulineros de Oaxaca
Mexico Primera Premier
1-0 1-1 46 D
25/10 Montaneses FC
Mexico Primera Premier
0-0 3-0 28 W
18/10 Cordobes Futbol Club
Mexico Primera Premier
1-0 2-0 56 W
11/10 H2O Purepechas FC
Mexico Primera Premier
0-1 0-2 52 L
04/10 Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexico Primera Premier
2-0 2-1 04 W
27/09 Irapuato
Mexico Primera Premier
0-2 0-3 65 L
19/09 Tigres de Álica FC
Mexico Primera Premier
0-0 1-1 15 D
13/09 Los Cabos United
Mexico Primera Premier
0-0 1-2 33 L
05/09 Zacatepec FC
Mexico Primera Premier
1-1 1-2 37 L

Deportiva Venados

DWDDLLWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexico Primera Premier
0-0 1-1 211 D
01/11 Irapuato
Mexico Primera Premier
0-0 1-2 06 L
25/10 Tigres de Álica FC
Mexico Primera Premier
1-0 3-1 55 W
20/10 Tapachula Soconusco FC
Mexico Primera Premier
3-0 4-1 54 W
11/10 Pioneros de Cancun
Mexico Primera Premier
1-2 1-4 63 L
04/10 Inter Playa del Carmen
Mexico Primera Premier
0-1 1-3 44 L
27/09 Club Celaya FC
Mexico Primera Premier
2-2 2-2 41 D
20/09 Racing de Veracruz
Mexico Primera Premier
2-1 3-3 –– D
13/09 Jaguares de Chiapas FC
Mexico Primera Premier
2-0 2-0 57 W
30/08 Montaneses FC
Mexico Primera Premier
0-0 1-1 80 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lobos ULM vs Deportiva Venados?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lobos ULM win (43%). Probabilities: Lobos ULM 43%, draw 26%, Deportiva Venados 31%.

How many goals are expected in Lobos ULM vs Deportiva Venados?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Lobos ULM 1.63 · Deportiva Venados 1.36), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lobos ULM vs Deportiva Venados?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.