Football · Mexico Primera Premier · 15/11, 18:00

Prediction: H2O Purepechas FC vs Inter Playa del Carmen

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
H2O Purepechas FC1.26
Inter Playa del Carmen1.06
1X2
40% 29% 30%
H2O Purepechas FC Draw Inter Playa del Carmen
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
H2O Purepechas FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLLWLWDD
Inter Playa del Carmen 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLDLWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · H2O Purepechas FC 1479 · Inter Playa del Carmen 1443
H2O Purepechas FCDrawInter Playa del Carmen
Our model40%31%30%
Market41%28%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

H2O Purepechas FCInter Playa del Carmen
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 11 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.40.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.21.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.35.4 / 0.8

Standings · Mexico Primera Premier · Liga Primera Premier 26/27, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Racing de Veracruz 11731 26928
2 Pioneros de Cancun 10622 211023
3 Club Celaya FC 10532 181021
4 Jaguares de Chiapas FC 11371 121117
5 Deportiva Venados 10343 191814
6 Chapulineros de Oaxaca 10343 131713
7 Montaneses FC 11326 152112
8 Inter Playa del Carmen 10217 10207
9 Tapachula Soconusco FC 10208 11286

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentH2O Purepechas FCInter Playa del Carmen
Jaguares de Chiapas FC 1-1 D 0-1 L
Montaneses FC 2-1 W 2-3 L
Tapachula Soconusco FC 0-1 L 0-2 L
Lobos ULM 2-0 W 1-2 L
CF Reboceros La Piedad 0-3 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: H2O Purepechas FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

H2O Purepechas FC

DLLLLWLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/11 Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexico Primera Premier
0-0 0-0 34 D
08/11 Jaguares de Chiapas FC
Mexico Primera Premier
0-1 1-1 34 D
01/11 Montaneses FC
Mexico Primera Premier
1-0 2-1 54 W
25/10 Tapachula Soconusco FC
Mexico Primera Premier
0-0 0-1 26 L
11/10 Lobos ULM
Mexico Primera Premier
1-0 2-0 22 W
04/10 Tigres de Álica FC
Mexico Primera Premier
0-0 0-1 00 L
27/09 Los Cabos United
Mexico Primera Premier
0-1 0-1 76 L
19/09 Zacatepec FC
Mexico Primera Premier
0-0 0-1 23 L
05/09 CF Reboceros La Piedad
Mexico Primera Premier
0-1 0-3 23 L
30/08 Cordobes Futbol Club
Mexico Primera Premier
0-1 1-1 65 D

Inter Playa del Carmen

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Lobos ULM
Mexico Primera Premier
1-0 1-2 –– L
31/10 CF Reboceros La Piedad
Mexico Primera Premier
0-1 2-1 64 W
25/10 Irapuato
Mexico Primera Premier
1-2 1-4 33 L
18/10 Racing de Veracruz
Mexico Primera Premier
0-0 0-1 47 L
11/10 Jaguares de Chiapas FC
Mexico Primera Premier
0-1 0-1 27 L
04/10 Deportiva Venados
Mexico Primera Premier
1-0 3-1 54 W
27/09 Montaneses FC
Mexico Primera Premier
0-1 2-3 36 L
20/09 Chapulineros de Oaxaca
Mexico Primera Premier
1-0 1-1 –– D
13/09 Tapachula Soconusco FC
Mexico Primera Premier
0-0 0-2 68 L
08/09 Pioneros de Cancun
Mexico Primera Premier
0-3 0-4 110 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in H2O Purepechas FC vs Inter Playa del Carmen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a H2O Purepechas FC win (40%). Probabilities: H2O Purepechas FC 40%, draw 29%, Inter Playa del Carmen 30%.

How many goals are expected in H2O Purepechas FC vs Inter Playa del Carmen?

The model expects 2.32 goals (H2O Purepechas FC 1.26 · Inter Playa del Carmen 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in H2O Purepechas FC vs Inter Playa del Carmen?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.