Football · Vietnam V-League · 11/09, 13:00
Prediction: Ninh Binh vs Thanh Hoa
Team pages: Ninh Binh · Thanh Hoa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Ninh Binh1.99
Thanh Hoa1.01
1X2
Ninh Binh
Draw
Thanh Hoa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Ninh Binh
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Thanh Hoa
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ninh Binh
2–3
Thanh Hoa
(5 last)
- Thanh Hoa0-2Ninh Binh
- Ninh Binh4-0Thanh Hoa
- Thanh Hoa3-0Ninh Binh
- Thanh Hoa1-0Ninh Binh
- Thanh Hoa5-1Ninh Binh
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ninh Binh (rating 1572 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Thanh Hoa: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ninh Binh | Thanh Hoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.3 | 1.3 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ninh Binh 2–0–3 Thanh Hoa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Vietnam V-League | Thanh Hoa | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ninh Binh |
| 23/08/25 Vietnam V-League | Ninh Binh | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Thanh Hoa |
| 12/03/24 Vietnam Cup | Thanh Hoa | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Ninh Binh |
| 10/07/23 Vietnam Cup | Thanh Hoa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ninh Binh |
| 28/02/20 World Club Friendlies | Thanh Hoa | 5-1 HT 5-0 | Ninh Binh |
Standings · Vietnam V-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nam Dinh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Ninh Binh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Cong An HCMC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Cong An Ha Noi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Viettel FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Thanh Hoa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Song Lam Nghe An | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Da Nang | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Bac Ninh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Ha Noi FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Hong Linh Ha Tinh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Truong Tuoi Dong Nai | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Hai Phong | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ninh Binh | Thanh Hoa |
|---|---|---|
| Song Lam Nghe An | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Viettel FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Ha Noi FC | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| PVF-CAND | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Becamex HCMC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ninh Binh (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ninh Binh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Hai Phong Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | Hong Linh Ha Tinh Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Thanh Hoa Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Cong An HCMC Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Song Lam Nghe An Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Hai Phong Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Viettel FC Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | Ha Noi FC Vietnam V-League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | PVF-CAND Vietnam V-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Becamex HCMC Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Thanh Hoa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Da Nang Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Da Nang Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Ninh Binh Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai Vietnam V-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Cong An Ha Noi Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 09/05 | Ha Noi FC Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Becamex HCMC Vietnam V-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | PVF-CAND Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Song Lam Nghe An Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 10/04 | Viettel FC Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ninh Binh vs Thanh Hoa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ninh Binh win (59%). Probabilities: Ninh Binh 59%, draw 23%, Thanh Hoa 18%.
How many goals are expected in Ninh Binh vs Thanh Hoa?
The model expects 3 goals (Ninh Binh 1.99 · Thanh Hoa 1.01), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ninh Binh vs Thanh Hoa?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.