Football · Zambia Super League · 03/10, 15:00
Prediction: Mufulira Wanderers vs Green Eagles
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.64Total
Mufulira Wanderers0.95
Green Eagles0.68
1X2
Mufulira Wanderers
Draw
Green Eagles
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
Mufulira Wanderers
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Green Eagles
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mufulira Wanderers
2–1–3
Green Eagles
(6 last)
- Green Eagles2-0Mufulira Wanderers
- Mufulira Wanderers1-0Green Eagles
- Mufulira Wanderers2-1Green Eagles
- Green Eagles1-0Mufulira Wanderers
- Mufulira Wanderers0-1Green Eagles
- Green Eagles0-0Mufulira Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mufulira Wanderers 1471 · Green Eagles 1489
| Mufulira Wanderers | Draw | Green Eagles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 37% | 24% |
| Market | 41% | 33% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.64 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Green Eagles: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mufulira Wanderers | Green Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/50/33% | 14/43/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 5.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mufulira Wanderers 2–1–3 Green Eagles
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Zambia Super League | Green Eagles | 2-0 | Mufulira Wanderers |
| 06/12/25 Zambia Super League | Mufulira Wanderers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Green Eagles |
| 08/03/25 Zambia Super League | Mufulira Wanderers | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Green Eagles |
| 02/11/24 Zambia Super League | Green Eagles | 1-0 | Mufulira Wanderers |
| 18/04/24 Zambia Super League | Mufulira Wanderers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Green Eagles |
| 09/11/23 Zambia Super League | Green Eagles | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mufulira Wanderers |
Standings · Zambia Super League · Super League 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chirundu United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Green Buffaloes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Green Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kabwe Warriors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mufulira Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mutondo Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nkwazi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Red Arrows FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roan United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ZESCO United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mufulira Wanderers | Green Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Power Dynamos | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Red Arrows FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Green Buffaloes | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Mutondo Stars | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Konkola Blades | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Zanaco FC | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Kabwe Warriors | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Green Eagles (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mufulira Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Power Dynamos Zambia Super League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Red Arrows FC Zambia Super League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/05 | Green Buffaloes Zambia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Green Eagles Zambia Super League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Mutondo Stars Zambia Super League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/04 | Konkola Blades Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Zanaco FC Zambia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/04 | Kabwe Warriors Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 19/03 | Nkana FC Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Nkwazi Zambia Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Green Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 | Mines United FC Zambia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Power Dynamos Zambia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 14/05 | Red Arrows FC Zambia Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | ZESCO United Zambia Super League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Mufulira Wanderers Zambia Super League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Green Buffaloes Zambia Super League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/04 | Zanaco FC Zambia Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 15/04 | Mutondo Stars Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Konkola Blades Zambia Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/03 | Kabwe Warriors Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mufulira Wanderers vs Green Eagles?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mufulira Wanderers win (40%). Probabilities: Mufulira Wanderers 40%, draw 35%, Green Eagles 25%.
How many goals are expected in Mufulira Wanderers vs Green Eagles?
The model expects 1.64 goals (Mufulira Wanderers 0.95 · Green Eagles 0.68), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mufulira Wanderers vs Green Eagles?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.