Football · Romania Liga III · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: CSM Sacele vs FC Inter Sibiu

Team pages: CSM Sacele · FC Inter Sibiu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

CSM Sacele1.76

FC Inter Sibiu1.66

1X2

40% 25% 36%

CSM Sacele Draw FC Inter Sibiu

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

CSM Sacele 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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FC Inter Sibiu 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CSM Sacele 1–0 FC Inter Sibiu (1 last)

FC Inter Sibiu0-1CSM Sacele

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Sacele 1496 · FC Inter Sibiu 1551

	CSM Sacele	Draw	FC Inter Sibiu
Our model	40%	24%	36%
Market	40%	25%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Inter Sibiu (rating 1496 vs 1551).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSM Sacele	FC Inter Sibiu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2	2.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	1.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	57/29/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 6.5	1.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.5	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.60

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:41 +25’	2.25	3.60	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Sacele 1–0–0 FC Inter Sibiu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Romania Liga III	FC Inter Sibiu	0-1	CSM Sacele

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ACS Medias 2022	12	9	2	1	31	15	29
2	CSO Baicoi	13	8	4	1	30	12	28
3	Corona Brasov	12	8	3	1	33	5	27
4	FC Inter Sibiu	12	8	0	4	33	12	24
5	ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel	13	5	5	3	25	18	20
6	ACS Olimpic Zarnesti	12	6	2	4	21	29	20
7	CSM Sacele	12	6	0	6	21	21	18
8	ACS Sepsi II	12	5	1	6	20	23	16
9	CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte	13	4	2	7	23	28	14
10	ACS Kids Tampa Brasov	13	3	0	10	12	26	9
11	Tricolorul Breaza	12	1	1	10	11	36	4
12	CS Carpati Covasna	12	0	2	10	5	40	2

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSM Sacele	FC Inter Sibiu
ACS Kids Tampa Brasov	1-2 L	2-0 W
CSO Baicoi	4-2 W	0-1 L
Tricolorul Breaza	2-0 W	5-0 W
CS Carpati Covasna	4-0 W	5-0 W
ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel	1-0 W	2-1 W
ACS Medias 2022	3-4 L	2-3 L
Corona Brasov	0-4 L	0-2 L
CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte	3-4 L	2-1 W
ACS Olimpic Zarnesti	0-1 L	7-2 W
ACS Sepsi II	0-3 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 6 L	7 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Inter Sibiu (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Sacele

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	ACS Kids Tampa Brasov Romania Liga III	0-1	1-2	11	6	L
31/10	CSO Baicoi Romania Liga III	2-1	4-2	8	5	W
24/10	Tricolorul Breaza Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W
17/10	CS Carpati Covasna Romania Liga III	–	4-0	–	–	W
09/10	ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel Romania Liga III	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
03/10	ACS Medias 2022 Romania Liga III	–	3-4	–	–	L
26/09	Corona Brasov Romania Liga III	–	0-4	–	–	L
23/09	CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte Romania Liga III	–	3-4	–	–	L
19/09	ACS Olimpic Zarnesti Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	ACS Sepsi II Romania Liga III	0-1	0-3	5	7	L

FC Inter Sibiu

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Tricolorul Breaza Romania Liga III	–	5-0	–	–	W
30/10	CS Carpati Covasna Romania Liga III	3-0	5-0	3	3	W
23/10	ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
16/10	ACS Medias 2022 Romania Liga III	2-2	2-3	5	6	L
10/10	Corona Brasov Romania Liga III	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
02/10	CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
26/09	ACS Olimpic Zarnesti Romania Liga III	3-1	7-2	3	3	W
23/09	ACS Sepsi II Romania Liga III	2-0	4-1	6	7	W
19/09	CSO Baicoi Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/09	ACS Kids Tampa Brasov Romania Liga III	2-0	2-0	2	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Sacele vs FC Inter Sibiu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSM Sacele win (40%). Probabilities: CSM Sacele 40%, draw 25%, FC Inter Sibiu 36%.

How many goals are expected in CSM Sacele vs FC Inter Sibiu?

The model expects 3.42 goals (CSM Sacele 1.76 · FC Inter Sibiu 1.66), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CSM Sacele vs FC Inter Sibiu?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.