Football · Romania Liga III · 13/11, 13:00
Prediction: CS Urban Titu vs CSM Flacara Moreni
Team pages: CS Urban Titu · CSM Flacara Moreni
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
CS Urban Titu0.82
CSM Flacara Moreni2.82
1X2
CS Urban Titu
Draw
CSM Flacara Moreni
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
CS Urban Titu
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
CSM Flacara Moreni
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CS Urban Titu
2–4
CSM Flacara Moreni
(6 last)
- CSM Flacara Moreni5-0CS Urban Titu
- CS Urban Titu0-2CSM Flacara Moreni
- CSM Flacara Moreni2-0CS Urban Titu
- CSM Flacara Moreni2-0CS Urban Titu
- CSM Flacara Moreni2-3CS Urban Titu
- CS Urban Titu1-0CSM Flacara Moreni
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CS Urban Titu 1480 · CSM Flacara Moreni 1644
| CS Urban Titu | Draw | CSM Flacara Moreni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 4% | 10% | 86% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSM Flacara Moreni (rating 1480 vs 1644).
- H2H favours CSM Flacara Moreni: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Urban Titu | CSM Flacara Moreni | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 3.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/38/50% | 100/0/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5 | 2.7 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.8 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Urban Titu 2–0–4 CSM Flacara Moreni
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/26 Romania Liga III | CSM Flacara Moreni | 5-0 HT 3-0 | CS Urban Titu |
| 06/03/26 Romania Liga III | CS Urban Titu | 0-2 HT 0-2 | CSM Flacara Moreni |
| 10/10/25 Romania Liga III | CSM Flacara Moreni | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CS Urban Titu |
| 30/07/25 Romania Cup | CSM Flacara Moreni | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CS Urban Titu |
| 01/03/25 Romania Liga III | CSM Flacara Moreni | 2-3 HT 1-2 | CS Urban Titu |
| 12/10/24 Romania Liga III | CS Urban Titu | 1-0 | CSM Flacara Moreni |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM Flacara Moreni | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | CS Tunari | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | CS Blejoi | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 4 | Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 31 | 20 |
| 5 | Vointa 2024 Crevedia | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 24 | 19 |
| 6 | CS Urban Titu | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 15 |
| 7 | ACS Progresul Draganesti | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Pucioasa | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 13 |
| 9 | CSM Ramnicu Sarat | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 36 | 12 |
| 10 | CSO Plopeni | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 11 |
| 11 | ACS Viitorul Corbeanca | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Paulesti | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CS Urban Titu | CSM Flacara Moreni |
|---|---|---|
| Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca | 0-3 L | 6-1 W |
| CSO Plopeni | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| CSM Ramnicu Sarat | 2-3 L | 5-1 W |
| FC Pucioasa | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Vointa 2024 Crevedia | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| CS Blejoi | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| ACS Progresul Draganesti | 2-2 D | 6-0 W |
| ACS Viitorul Corbeanca | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| CS Tunari | 0-3 L | 6-0 W |
| FC Paulesti | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 3 L | 9 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CSM Flacara Moreni (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Urban Titu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/10 | CSO Plopeni Romania Liga III |
3-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/10 | CSM Ramnicu Sarat Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 16/10 | FC Pucioasa Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Vointa 2024 Crevedia Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 02/10 | CS Blejoi Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 26/09 | ACS Progresul Draganesti Romania Liga III |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 23/09 | ACS Viitorul Corbeanca Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | CS Tunari Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | FC Paulesti Romania Liga III |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
CSM Flacara Moreni
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | CS Blejoi Romania Liga III |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/10 | Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca Romania Liga III |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/10 | ACS Progresul Draganesti Romania Liga III |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/10 | CSO Plopeni Romania Liga III |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/10 | ACS Viitorul Corbeanca Romania Liga III |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 02/10 | CSM Ramnicu Sarat Romania Liga III |
2-1 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 25/09 | CS Tunari Romania Liga III |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/09 | FC Pucioasa Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/09 | FC Paulesti Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Vointa 2024 Crevedia Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CS Urban Titu vs CSM Flacara Moreni?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CSM Flacara Moreni win (82%). Probabilities: CS Urban Titu 6%, draw 12%, CSM Flacara Moreni 82%.
How many goals are expected in CS Urban Titu vs CSM Flacara Moreni?
The model expects 3.64 goals (CS Urban Titu 0.82 · CSM Flacara Moreni 2.82), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CS Urban Titu vs CSM Flacara Moreni?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.