Football · Romania Liga III · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: CSO Plopeni vs CS Tunari

Team pages: CSO Plopeni · CS Tunari

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

CSO Plopeni0.87

CS Tunari2.87

1X2

8% 13% 79%

CSO Plopeni Draw CS Tunari

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CSO Plopeni 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLLLLD

CS Tunari 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDWWWW

Head-to-head

CSO Plopeni 0–1 CS Tunari (1 last)

CS Tunari3-0CSO Plopeni

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSO Plopeni 1431 · CS Tunari 1593

	CSO Plopeni	Draw	CS Tunari
Our model	8%	14%	78%
Market	8%	12%	80%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Tunari (rating 1431 vs 1593).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSO Plopeni	CS Tunari
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.3	3.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.8	1.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/20/80%	75/25/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.2	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

111.00

X7.50

21.13

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.85

2 (-2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:40 +26’	11.00	7.50	1.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSO Plopeni 0–0–1 CS Tunari

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Romania Liga III	CS Tunari	3-0 HT 1-0	CSO Plopeni

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Flacara Moreni	13	12	1	0	49	9	37
2	CS Tunari	12	9	2	1	37	14	29
3	CS Blejoi	12	6	2	4	21	19	20
4	Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca	12	6	2	4	33	31	20
5	Vointa 2024 Crevedia	12	6	1	5	28	24	19
6	CS Urban Titu	13	4	3	6	17	25	15
7	ACS Progresul Draganesti	12	3	4	5	18	27	13
8	FC Pucioasa	12	3	4	5	14	18	13
9	CSM Ramnicu Sarat	13	3	4	6	20	37	13
10	CSO Plopeni	12	3	2	7	14	26	11
11	ACS Viitorul Corbeanca	13	1	6	6	9	17	9
12	FC Paulesti	12	1	3	8	10	23	6

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSO Plopeni	CS Tunari
FC Paulesti	2-2 D	2-0 W
CS Urban Titu	1-3 L	3-0 W
Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca	3-5 L	2-2 D
CSM Flacara Moreni	0-3 L	0-6 L
CSM Ramnicu Sarat	2-3 L	8-1 W
FC Pucioasa	0-0 D	7-2 W
Vointa 2024 Crevedia	1-0 W	2-0 W
CS Blejoi	0-3 L	4-0 W
ACS Progresul Draganesti	2-4 L	2-2 D
ACS Viitorul Corbeanca	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 6 L	7 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CS Tunari (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSO Plopeni

WLLWDLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Paulesti Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
30/10	CS Urban Titu Romania Liga III	1-3	1-3	2	7	L
24/10	Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca Romania Liga III	1-2	3-5	4	4	L
17/10	CSM Flacara Moreni Romania Liga III	–	0-3	–	–	L
09/10	CSM Ramnicu Sarat Romania Liga III	0-3	2-3	5	4	L
03/10	FC Pucioasa Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
26/09	Vointa 2024 Crevedia Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
22/09	CS Blejoi Romania Liga III	0-1	0-3	1	6	L
19/09	ACS Progresul Draganesti Romania Liga III	–	2-4	–	–	L
12/09	ACS Viitorul Corbeanca Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W

CS Tunari

DWWLWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	CSM Ramnicu Sarat Romania Liga III	3-1	8-1	6	3	W
31/10	FC Pucioasa Romania Liga III	3-1	7-2	4	2	W
24/10	Vointa 2024 Crevedia Romania Liga III	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
17/10	CS Blejoi Romania Liga III	4-0	4-0	2	3	W
09/10	ACS Progresul Draganesti Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	ACS Viitorul Corbeanca Romania Liga III	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
25/09	CSM Flacara Moreni Romania Liga III	–	0-6	–	–	L
22/09	FC Paulesti Romania Liga III	0-0	2-0	7	1	W
19/09	CS Urban Titu Romania Liga III	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
12/09	Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca Romania Liga III	1-1	2-2	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSO Plopeni vs CS Tunari?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Tunari win (79%). Probabilities: CSO Plopeni 8%, draw 13%, CS Tunari 79%.

How many goals are expected in CSO Plopeni vs CS Tunari?

The model expects 3.75 goals (CSO Plopeni 0.87 · CS Tunari 2.87), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CSO Plopeni vs CS Tunari?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.