Football · Romania Liga III · 13/11, 13:00

Prediction: FC Voluntari II vs Progresul Mogosoaia

Team pages: FC Voluntari II · Progresul Mogosoaia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

FC Voluntari II1.46

Progresul Mogosoaia1.75

1X2

32% 24% 44%

FC Voluntari II Draw Progresul Mogosoaia

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Voluntari II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Progresul Mogosoaia 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWLWLD

Head-to-head

FC Voluntari II 0–1 Progresul Mogosoaia (1 last)

Progresul Mogosoaia1-0FC Voluntari II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Voluntari II 1493 · Progresul Mogosoaia 1490

	FC Voluntari II	Draw	Progresul Mogosoaia
Our model	31%	25%	44%
Market	33%	22%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Voluntari II	Progresul Mogosoaia
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/29/43%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 4.1	1.8 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.75

X4.00

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:01 +1’	2.75	4.00	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Voluntari II 0–0–1 Progresul Mogosoaia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Romania Liga III	Progresul Mogosoaia	1-0	FC Voluntari II

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dunarea Giurgiu	12	7	5	0	31	18	26
2	ACS Inter Ilfov	12	8	2	2	30	17	26
3	CS Omega Sport Bucuresti	12	7	4	1	16	9	25
4	CSM Alexandria	12	6	4	2	16	10	22
5	Progresul Mogosoaia	12	4	4	4	17	21	16
6	Acs Axi Arena	12	5	0	7	9	18	15
7	FC Voluntari II	12	4	2	6	17	20	14
8	Steaua Bucharest II	12	4	1	7	25	30	13
9	Oxigen Bucuresti	12	4	1	7	15	23	13
10	Cetatea Turnu Magurele	12	2	6	4	23	19	12
11	Dinamo Bucharest II	12	4	0	8	14	23	12
12	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	12	2	1	9	12	17	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Voluntari II	Progresul Mogosoaia
Acs Axi Arena	1-0 W	0-2 L
Steaua Bucharest II	4-2 W	2-5 L
Dunarea Giurgiu	3-5 L	1-1 D
CS Omega Sport Bucuresti	1-1 D	0-1 L
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	2-1 W	2-1 W
CSM Alexandria	0-2 L	0-0 D
Oxigen Bucuresti	2-1 W	4-2 W
ACS Inter Ilfov	2-3 L	2-1 W
Cetatea Turnu Magurele	2-2 D	3-3 D
Dinamo Bucharest II	0-1 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Voluntari II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Acs Axi Arena Romania Liga III	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
30/10	Steaua Bucharest II Romania Liga III	2-1	4-2	8	6	W
24/10	Dunarea Giurgiu Romania Liga III	–	3-5	–	–	L
16/10	CS Omega Sport Bucuresti Romania Liga III	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
10/10	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti Romania Liga III	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
02/10	CSM Alexandria Romania Liga III	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
25/09	Oxigen Bucuresti Romania Liga III	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
22/09	ACS Inter Ilfov Romania Liga III	1-2	2-3	2	6	L
18/09	Cetatea Turnu Magurele Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/09	Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III	–	0-1	6	2	L

Progresul Mogosoaia

WLLDDWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	CSM Alexandria Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
30/10	Acs Axi Arena Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
24/10	Oxigen Bucuresti Romania Liga III	4-1	4-2	3	4	W
16/10	Steaua Bucharest II Romania Liga III	1-2	2-5	1	3	L
10/10	ACS Inter Ilfov Romania Liga III	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
03/10	Dunarea Giurgiu Romania Liga III	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
26/09	Cetatea Turnu Magurele Romania Liga III	1-1	3-3	1	7	D
23/09	CS Omega Sport Bucuresti Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
19/09	Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III	0-0	0-3	5	4	L
12/09	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Voluntari II vs Progresul Mogosoaia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Progresul Mogosoaia win (44%). Probabilities: FC Voluntari II 32%, draw 24%, Progresul Mogosoaia 44%.

How many goals are expected in FC Voluntari II vs Progresul Mogosoaia?

The model expects 3.21 goals (FC Voluntari II 1.46 · Progresul Mogosoaia 1.75), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Voluntari II vs Progresul Mogosoaia?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.