Football · Romania Liga III · 13/11, 12:00

Prediction: SSU Politehnica Timisoara II vs ACS Progresul Pecica

Team pages: ACS Progresul Pecica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

SSU Politehnica Timisoara II1.44

ACS Progresul Pecica2.11

1X2

25% 23% 52%

SSU Politehnica Timisoara II Draw ACS Progresul Pecica

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SSU Politehnica Timisoara II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLWLLL

ACS Progresul Pecica 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLLWL

Head-to-head

SSU Politehnica Timisoara II 0–1 ACS Progresul Pecica (1 last)

ACS Progresul Pecica5-2SSU Politehnica Timisoara II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SSU Politehnica Timisoara II 1427 · ACS Progresul Pecica 1457

	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II	Draw	ACS Progresul Pecica
Our model	25%	23%	52%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II	ACS Progresul Pecica
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2	1.5 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.2 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/57/29%	17/0/83%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.5	1.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.90

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
X	4.10 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	1.60 → 1.73▲	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:58 +3’	4.10	4.10	1.60
12:52 +9’	3.60▼	3.90▼	1.73▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SSU Politehnica Timisoara II 0–0–1 ACS Progresul Pecica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Romania Liga III	ACS Progresul Pecica	5-2	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	12	9	2	1	34	5	29
2	CS Timisul Sag	12	8	2	2	18	7	26
3	ACS Viitorul Arad	12	7	3	2	22	16	24
4	ACS CIL Blaj	12	6	4	2	23	18	22
5	CSM Deva	12	6	3	3	26	20	21
6	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	12	5	4	3	20	15	19
7	CS Unirea Santana	12	5	2	5	15	11	17
8	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	12	3	4	5	14	18	13
9	ACS Progresul Pecica	12	4	1	7	20	28	13
10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II	12	2	1	9	13	29	7
11	CSU Alba Iulia	12	1	4	7	10	22	7
12	FC Nera Bogodinti	12	0	2	10	5	31	2

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II	ACS Progresul Pecica
CSM Deva	1-2 L	1-3 L
CS Timisul Sag	1-4 L	0-3 L
ACS Viitorul Arad	1-2 L	2-3 L
FC Nera Bogodinti	1-0 W	2-1 W
Unirea Alba Iulia	0-2 L	0-4 L
CS Metalurgistul Cugir	1-1 D	1-2 L
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	0-1 L	0-5 L
ACS CIL Blaj	1-2 L	2-1 W
CS Unirea Santana	1-4 L	1-4 L
CSU Alba Iulia	3-2 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 7 L	3 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: SSU Politehnica Timisoara II (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SSU Politehnica Timisoara II

WLLLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	1-1	1-2	1	9	L
30/10	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	1-2	1-4	5	6	L
24/10	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
16/10	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	1-0	1-0	13	3	W
10/10	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
02/10	CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
26/09	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
22/09	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
19/09	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	–	1-4	–	–	L
11/09	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	–	3-2	4	3	W

ACS Progresul Pecica

LLWLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	0-1	2-3	4	8	L
30/10	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
24/10	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-2	0-4	5	3	L
17/10	CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III	1-0	1-2	6	7	L
09/10	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	0-2	0-5	1	2	L
03/10	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	–	1-4	–	–	L
22/09	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	–	6-0	–	–	W
18/09	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	0-2	0-3	3	6	L
11/09	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	–	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SSU Politehnica Timisoara II vs ACS Progresul Pecica?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ACS Progresul Pecica win (52%). Probabilities: SSU Politehnica Timisoara II 25%, draw 23%, ACS Progresul Pecica 52%.

How many goals are expected in SSU Politehnica Timisoara II vs ACS Progresul Pecica?

The model expects 3.55 goals (SSU Politehnica Timisoara II 1.44 · ACS Progresul Pecica 2.11), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SSU Politehnica Timisoara II vs ACS Progresul Pecica?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.