Football · Romania Liga III · 13/11, 13:00

Prediction: CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

Team pages: CS Metalurgistul Cugir · Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

CS Metalurgistul Cugir1.45

Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII1.26

1X2

41% 26% 33%

CS Metalurgistul Cugir Draw Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Metalurgistul Cugir 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CS Metalurgistul Cugir 0–2–2 Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII (4 last)

Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII3-3CS Metalurgistul Cugir
CS Metalurgistul Cugir0-0Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII1-0CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII6-1CS Metalurgistul Cugir

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1486 · Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 1541

	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	Draw	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
Our model	40%	28%	32%
Market	42%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII (rating 1486 vs 1541).
H2H favours Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.5	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.60

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:55 +7’	2.15	3.60	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Metalurgistul Cugir 0–2–2 Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Romania Liga III	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	3-3 HT 2-1	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
13/03/26 Romania Liga III	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	0-0 HT 0-0	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
18/10/25 Romania Liga III	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	1-0 HT 0-0	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
19/04/19 Romania Liga III	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	6-1 HT 0-1	CS Metalurgistul Cugir

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	12	9	2	1	34	5	29
2	CS Timisul Sag	12	8	2	2	18	7	26
3	ACS Viitorul Arad	12	7	3	2	22	16	24
4	ACS CIL Blaj	12	6	4	2	23	18	22
5	CSM Deva	12	6	3	3	26	20	21
6	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	12	5	4	3	20	15	19
7	CS Unirea Santana	12	5	2	5	15	11	17
8	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	12	3	4	5	14	18	13
9	ACS Progresul Pecica	12	4	1	7	20	28	13
10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II	12	2	1	9	13	29	7
11	CSU Alba Iulia	12	1	4	7	10	22	7
12	FC Nera Bogodinti	12	0	2	10	5	31	2

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
ACS CIL Blaj	0-2 L	2-2 D
CS Unirea Santana	0-0 D	3-0 W
CSU Alba Iulia	2-1 W	2-0 W
ACS Progresul Pecica	2-1 W	5-0 W
CSM Deva	0-2 L	1-5 L
SSU Politehnica Timisoara II	1-1 D	1-0 W
ACS Viitorul Arad	1-3 L	1-1 D
FC Nera Bogodinti	3-0 W	2-1 W
Unirea Alba Iulia	2-2 D	0-0 D
CS Timisul Sag	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	5 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Metalurgistul Cugir

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	0-2	0-2	12	3	L
31/10	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
23/10	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
17/10	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	0-1	2-1	2	7	W
09/10	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	0-0	0-2	7	5	L
02/10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II Romania Liga III	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
26/09	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	1-2	1-3	8	4	L
23/09	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	–	3-0	–	–	W
18/09	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-1	2-2	0	5	D
11/09	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L

Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
31/10	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	1-0	2-2	6	6	D
23/10	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	–	3-0	–	–	W
16/10	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-0	2-0	1	1	W
09/10	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	2-0	5-0	6	2	W
03/10	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	0-2	1-5	9	4	L
26/09	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II Romania Liga III	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
23/09	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
18/09	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
12/09	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	0	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Metalurgistul Cugir win (41%). Probabilities: CS Metalurgistul Cugir 41%, draw 26%, Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 33%.

How many goals are expected in CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII?

The model expects 2.71 goals (CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1.45 · Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 1.26), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.