Football · Romania Liga III · 13/11, 13:00

Prediction: CS Academica Recea vs CS Minaur Baia Mare

Team pages: CS Academica Recea · CS Minaur Baia Mare

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.87Total

CS Academica Recea1.5

CS Minaur Baia Mare2.37

1X2

23% 22% 56%

CS Academica Recea Draw CS Minaur Baia Mare

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Academica Recea 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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CS Minaur Baia Mare 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CS Academica Recea 0–1 CS Minaur Baia Mare (1 last)

CS Minaur Baia Mare3-1CS Academica Recea

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Academica Recea 1517 · CS Minaur Baia Mare 1598

	CS Academica Recea	Draw	CS Minaur Baia Mare
Our model	23%	21%	56%
Market	22%	22%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Minaur Baia Mare (rating 1517 vs 1598).
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Academica Recea	CS Minaur Baia Mare
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.9	2.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 1	1.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/17/50%	71/29/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.9	4.7 / 8.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.6	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.00

X4.00

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:56 +5’	4.00	4.00	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Academica Recea 0–0–1 CS Minaur Baia Mare

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Romania Liga III	CS Minaur Baia Mare	3-1	CS Academica Recea

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Minaur Baia Mare	12	9	2	1	34	9	29
2	CS Sanatatea Cluj	12	7	4	1	21	9	25
3	CS Academica Recea	12	7	0	5	29	22	21
4	CS Crisul Santandrei	12	6	3	3	20	17	21
5	SCM Zalau	12	5	4	3	20	13	19
6	Sighetu Marmatiei	12	5	3	4	22	16	18
7	CF Bihorul Beius	12	4	4	4	11	15	16
8	ACS Viitorul Cluj	12	4	3	5	22	19	15
9	CS Lotus Baile Felix	12	3	4	5	17	21	13
10	AFC Unirea Tasnad	12	2	5	5	10	23	11
11	Unirea Dej	12	2	2	8	7	18	8
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	12	0	2	10	9	40	2

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Academica Recea	CS Minaur Baia Mare
SCM Zalau	2-3 L	3-2 W
CF Bihorul Beius	5-1 W	0-0 D
CS Lotus Baile Felix	5-1 W	4-0 W
CS Sanatatea Cluj	1-3 L	2-0 W
CS Crisul Santandrei	2-0 W	0-1 L
Sighetu Marmatiei	1-0 W	4-0 W
AFC Unirea Tasnad	2-1 W	3-1 W
Transilvania Sport Academy	7-1 W	6-0 W
ACS Viitorul Cluj	2-6 L	2-2 D
Unirea Dej	0-3 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 4 L	7 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CS Minaur Baia Mare (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Academica Recea

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	SCM Zalau Romania Liga III	1-2	2-3	2	7	L
30/10	CF Bihorul Beius Romania Liga III	3-1	5-1	4	6	W
23/10	CS Lotus Baile Felix Romania Liga III	–	5-1	–	–	W
16/10	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
10/10	CS Crisul Santandrei Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W
02/10	Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
26/09	AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
23/09	Transilvania Sport Academy Romania Liga III	5-1	7-1	5	4	W
18/09	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	0-1	2-6	4	3	L
11/09	Unirea Dej Romania Liga III	–	0-3	3	7	L

CS Minaur Baia Mare

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III	1-0	4-0	7	3	W
31/10	SCM Zalau Romania Liga III	–	3-2	–	–	W
24/10	AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III	1-0	3-1	11	2	W
17/10	CF Bihorul Beius Romania Liga III	–	0-0	–	–	D
10/10	Transilvania Sport Academy Romania Liga III	–	6-0	–	–	W
02/10	CS Lotus Baile Felix Romania Liga III	3-0	4-0	6	3	W
26/09	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	1-1	2-2	12	5	D
22/09	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	1-0	2-0	11	7	W
19/09	Unirea Dej Romania Liga III	4-0	5-1	7	3	W
12/09	CS Crisul Santandrei Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	6	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Academica Recea vs CS Minaur Baia Mare?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Minaur Baia Mare win (56%). Probabilities: CS Academica Recea 23%, draw 22%, CS Minaur Baia Mare 56%.

How many goals are expected in CS Academica Recea vs CS Minaur Baia Mare?

The model expects 3.87 goals (CS Academica Recea 1.5 · CS Minaur Baia Mare 2.37), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Academica Recea vs CS Minaur Baia Mare?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.