Football · Malta Challenge League · 01/11, 20:00
Prediction: Melita FC Saint Julian vs Sirens
Team pages: Melita FC Saint Julian · Sirens
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Melita FC Saint Julian1.59
Sirens1.25
1X2
Melita FC Saint Julian
Draw
Sirens
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Melita FC Saint Julian
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Sirens
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Melita FC Saint Julian
1–1–4
Sirens
(6 last)
- Melita FC Saint Julian2-0Sirens
- Sirens2-1Melita FC Saint Julian
- Melita FC Saint Julian0-2Sirens
- Sirens4-0Melita FC Saint Julian
- Sirens2-2Melita FC Saint Julian
- Melita FC Saint Julian0-2Sirens
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Melita FC Saint Julian 1470 · Sirens 1458
| Melita FC Saint Julian | Draw | Sirens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sirens: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Melita FC Saint Julian | Sirens | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.4 | 2.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Melita FC Saint Julian 1–1–4 Sirens
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Malta Challenge League | Melita FC Saint Julian | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sirens |
| 22/11/25 Malta Challenge League | Sirens | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Melita FC Saint Julian |
| 13/01/18 Malta Division 1 | Melita FC Saint Julian | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sirens |
| 09/09/17 Malta Division 1 | Sirens | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Melita FC Saint Julian |
| 09/04/17 Malta Division 1 | Sirens | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Melita FC Saint Julian |
| 11/12/16 Malta Challenge League | Melita FC Saint Julian | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sirens |
Standings · Malta Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarxien Rainbows FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Pieta Hotspurs | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Fgura United | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Naxxar Lions | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Swieqi Utd | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 6 | Mgarr United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Melita FC Saint Julian | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Zurrieq FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | St Andrews | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 7 |
| 10 | Attard | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 11 | Victoria Hotspurs | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 12 | Vittoriosa Stars | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Santa Lucia FC | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 14 | Sirens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 15 | Zebbug Rangers FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
| 16 | Gudja United | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Melita FC Saint Julian | Sirens |
|---|---|---|
| Pieta Hotspurs | 0-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Balzan FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Fgura United | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Swieqi Utd | 0-5 L | 2-3 L |
| St Andrews | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sirens (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melita FC Saint Julian
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Zebbug Rangers FC Malta Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | Pieta Hotspurs Malta Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Attard Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Mgarr United Malta Challenge League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Gudja United Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Balzan FC Malta Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Fgura United Malta Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Swieqi Utd Malta Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | St Andrews Malta Challenge League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 08/03 | Pieta Hotspurs Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
Sirens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Tarxien Rainbows FC Malta Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Swieqi Utd Malta Challenge League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Naxxar Lions Malta Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Fgura United Malta Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Zurrieq FC Malta Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Birzebbuga Malta Challenge League |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Pieta Hotspurs Malta Challenge League |
2-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 06/04 | Balzan FC Malta Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | Fgura United Malta Challenge League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 07/03 | St Andrews Malta Challenge League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Melita FC Saint Julian vs Sirens?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Melita FC Saint Julian win (45%). Probabilities: Melita FC Saint Julian 45%, draw 26%, Sirens 30%.
How many goals are expected in Melita FC Saint Julian vs Sirens?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Melita FC Saint Julian 1.59 · Sirens 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Melita FC Saint Julian vs Sirens?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.