Football · Croatia HNL · 29/08, 17:00

Prediction: NK Osijek vs Slaven Belupo

Team pages: NK Osijek · Slaven Belupo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
NK Osijek1.69
Slaven Belupo0.9
1X2
55% 25% 19%
NK Osijek Draw Slaven Belupo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Osijek 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WDLLLWWWWL
Slaven Belupo 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LDLWLLLLLW
Head-to-head
NK Osijek 3–2–1 Slaven Belupo (6 last)
  • NK Osijek2-0Slaven Belupo
  • Slaven Belupo0-0NK Osijek
  • NK Osijek0-0Slaven Belupo
  • Slaven Belupo2-1NK Osijek
  • NK Osijek4-0Slaven Belupo
  • Slaven Belupo1-4NK Osijek
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Osijek 1526 · Slaven Belupo 1426
NK OsijekDrawSlaven Belupo
Our model55%26%19%
Market56%24%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Osijek (rating 1526 vs 1426).
  • H2H favours NK Osijek: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NK OsijekSlaven Belupo
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.90.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 6.61.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.22.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Osijek 321 Slaven Belupo

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/05/26
Croatia HNL
NK Osijek2-0
HT 0-0
Slaven Belupo
22/03/26
Croatia HNL
Slaven Belupo0-0
HT 0-0
NK Osijek
20/12/25
Croatia HNL
NK Osijek0-0
HT 0-0
Slaven Belupo
04/10/25
Croatia HNL
Slaven Belupo2-1
HT 1-0
NK Osijek
25/07/25
Europe Friendlies
NK Osijek4-0
HT 1-0
Slaven Belupo
04/05/25
Croatia HNL
Slaven Belupo1-4
HT 0-3
NK Osijek

Standings · Croatia HNL

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb 3300 919
2 NK Osijek 4301 959
2 NK Varazdin 4301 959
4 Hajduk Split 4211 957
5 HNK Rijeka 3201 556
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4202 786
7 Istra 1961 4112 984
8 Slaven Belupo 4103 393
9 NK Rudes 4103 6133
10 HNK Gorica 4004 290

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNK OsijekSlaven Belupo
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 W 1-2 L
HNK Gorica 2-0 W 2-0 W
Istra 1961 0-1 L 0-3 L
Vukovar 91 0-1 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Osijek (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Osijek

WDLLLWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Hajduk Split
Croatia HNL
0-1 0-4 25 L
15/08 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatia HNL
0-0 1-0 96 W
08/08 NK Rudes
Croatia HNL
4-0 6-1 42 W
01/08 HNK Gorica
Croatia HNL
2-0 2-0 83 W
22/05 Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
0-0 2-0 160 W
16/05 HNK Gorica
Croatia HNL
0-2 0-2 94 L
10/05 Istra 1961
Croatia HNL
0-1 0-1 18 L
02/05 Vukovar 91
Croatia HNL
0-0 0-1 46 L
25/04 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatia HNL
0-0 0-0 96 D
21/04 Hajduk Split
Croatia HNL
0-0 1-0 43 W

Slaven Belupo

LDLWLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 HNK Gorica
Croatia HNL
2-0 2-0 53 W
15/08 Istra 1961
Croatia HNL
0-2 0-3 35 L
09/08 NK Varazdin
Croatia HNL
0-3 1-4 52 L
31/07 Dinamo Zagreb
Croatia HNL
0-1 0-2 12 L
22/05 NK Osijek
Croatia HNL
0-0 0-2 20 L
17/05 Dinamo Zagreb
Croatia HNL
1-0 1-4 51 L
10/05 HNK Gorica
Croatia HNL
0-0 1-0 24 W
04/05 Istra 1961
Croatia HNL
1-2 1-3 120 L
25/04 Vukovar 91
Croatia HNL
1-1 2-2 18 D
21/04 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatia HNL
1-1 1-2 31 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Osijek vs Slaven Belupo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Osijek win (55%). Probabilities: NK Osijek 55%, draw 25%, Slaven Belupo 19%.

How many goals are expected in NK Osijek vs Slaven Belupo?

The model expects 2.59 goals (NK Osijek 1.69 · Slaven Belupo 0.9), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Osijek vs Slaven Belupo?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.