Football · Panama First Division Women · 26/08, 03:00

Prediction: SD Atletico Nacional (W) vs Tevi Cocle (W)

Team pages: SD Atletico Nacional (W) · Tevi Cocle (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.08Total

SD Atletico Nacional (W)2.09

Tevi Cocle (W)1.99

1X2

40% 23% 36%

SD Atletico Nacional (W) Draw Tevi Cocle (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SD Atletico Nacional (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Tevi Cocle (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SD Atletico Nacional (W) 1–2–2 Tevi Cocle (W) (5 last)

SD Atletico Nacional (W)1-2Tevi Cocle (W)
Tevi Cocle (W)6-4SD Atletico Nacional (W)
SD Atletico Nacional (W)3-3Tevi Cocle (W)
SD Atletico Nacional (W)2-1Tevi Cocle (W)
Tevi Cocle (W)1-1SD Atletico Nacional (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SD Atletico Nacional (W) 1416 · Tevi Cocle (W) 1447

	SD Atletico Nacional (W)	Draw	Tevi Cocle (W)
Our model	41%	22%	37%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tevi Cocle (W): 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SD Atletico Nacional (W)	Tevi Cocle (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 3.2	1.3 / 3.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.4	0.7 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.8	1.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.6	3.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.70

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 1.55 · xG: 4.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:20 +5’	2.25	3.70	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Atletico Nacional (W) 1–2–2 Tevi Cocle (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/03/26 Panama First Division Women	SD Atletico Nacional (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Tevi Cocle (W)
24/01/26 Panama First Division Women	Tevi Cocle (W)	6-4 HT 4-3	SD Atletico Nacional (W)
03/10/25 Panama First Division Women	SD Atletico Nacional (W)	3-3 HT 1-3	Tevi Cocle (W)
04/04/25 Panama First Division Women	SD Atletico Nacional (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Tevi Cocle (W)
31/01/25 Panama First Division Women	Tevi Cocle (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	SD Atletico Nacional (W)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SD Atletico Nacional (W)	Tevi Cocle (W)
Inter Panama CF (W)	0-3 L	0-8 L
UMECIT (W)	0-4 L	0-8 L
Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)	3-6 L	0-1 L
EFRE (W)	7-0 W	4-1 W
Chorrillo (W)	0-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SD Atletico Nacional (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SD Atletico Nacional (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Inter Panama CF (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	0-3	1	4	L
14/08	CD Origen (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	0-4	0	4	L
25/04	UMECIT (W) Panama First Division Women	0-1	0-4	2	9	L
22/04	Inter Panama CF (W) Panama First Division Women	0-3	0-5	0	8	L
01/04	Santa Fe FC (W) Panama First Division Women	0-3	1-4	4	8	L
28/03	Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) Panama First Division Women	3-2	3-6	2	3	L
24/03	Deportivo Chiriqui (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	4-0	7	4	W
20/03	EFRE (W) Panama First Division Women	4-0	7-0	15	2	W
18/03	Tevi Cocle (W) Panama First Division Women	0-1	1-2	7	5	L
13/03	Chorrillo (W) Panama First Division Women	0-4	0-4	0	8	L

Tevi Cocle (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	UMECIT (W) Panama First Division Women	0-3	0-8	2	2	L
06/08	Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
28/04	Inter Panama CF (W) Panama First Division Women	0-3	0-8	5	2	L
25/04	FC Panama Norte (W) Panama First Division Women	4-1	6-3	7	2	W
20/04	UMECIT (W) Panama First Division Women	0-2	0-4	2	4	L
02/04	Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) Panama First Division Women	0-1	0-4	3	6	L
25/03	EFRE (W) Panama First Division Women	1-1	4-1	12	5	W
21/03	Chorrillo (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
18/03	SD Atletico Nacional (W) Panama First Division Women	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
15/03	Inter Panama CF (W) Panama First Division Women	1-3	1-4	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SD Atletico Nacional (W) vs Tevi Cocle (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SD Atletico Nacional (W) win (40%). Probabilities: SD Atletico Nacional (W) 40%, draw 23%, Tevi Cocle (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in SD Atletico Nacional (W) vs Tevi Cocle (W)?

The model expects 4.08 goals (SD Atletico Nacional (W) 2.09 · Tevi Cocle (W) 1.99), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SD Atletico Nacional (W) vs Tevi Cocle (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.