Football · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · 13/11, 12:50

Prediction: Al Safa vs Al Qala'a

Team pages: Al Safa · Al Qala'a

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Al Safa1.49

Al Qala'a1.08

1X2

45% 28% 26%

Al Safa Draw Al Qala'a

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Safa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWDWLLWW

Al Qala'a 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLDDWLWWDW

Head-to-head

Al Safa 1–1 Al Qala'a (2 last)

Al Qala'a0-2Al Safa
Al Safa0-2Al Qala'a

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Safa	Al Qala'a
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/0/67%	50/38/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.3	2.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.76 → 2.76	Pinn 2.76
X	3.06 → 3.06	Pinn 3.06
2	2.33 → 2.33	Pinn 2.33

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:50 +10’	2.76	3.06	2.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Safa 1–0–1 Al Qala'a

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/01/26 Saudi Arabia Division 2	Al Qala'a	0-2 HT 0-2	Al Safa
04/10/25 Saudi Arabia Division 2	Al Safa	0-2	Al Qala'a

Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · Second Division 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Sahel	6	4	1	1	10	5	13
2	Weg Taif SC	6	3	2	1	8	5	11
3	Al Qala'a	4	3	1	0	9	2	10
4	Baish	5	3	1	1	9	7	10
5	Al Ain FC	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
6	Al Safa	5	3	0	2	6	8	9
7	Al Taraji	6	2	2	2	9	12	8
8	Al Qwarah	6	2	1	3	11	9	7
9	Arar FC	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
10	Al-Qotah	5	1	2	2	8	9	5
11	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah	5	1	2	2	7	8	5
12	Al Nairyah	4	1	1	2	7	7	4
13	Afif	6	1	1	4	4	9	4
14	Al Batin	5	0	3	2	2	7	3
15	Mudhar FC	4	0	2	2	5	8	2
16	Hottain	2	0	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Safa	Al Qala'a
Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah	3-1 W	1-1 D
Weg Taif SC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Al Qwarah	0-3 L	3-1 W
Afif	2-1 W	2-0 W
Mudhar FC	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Al Qala'a (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Safa

WLDWDWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	3-1	–	–	W
02/11	Weg Taif SC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
28/10	Al Qwarah Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
24/10	Al Ain FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-3	–	–	L
09/10	Afif Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
09/04	Al Kawkab Saudi Arabia Division 2	2-1	2-2	4	2	D
03/04	Al Qous Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/03	Mudhar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
13/03	Al-Saqer FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
06/03	Arar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W

Al Qala'a

DLDDWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Afif Saudi Arabia Division 2	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
02/11	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
27/10	Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 2	2-0	3-0	1	4	W
23/10	Al Qwarah Saudi Arabia Division 2	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
09/04	Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
03/04	Weg Taif SC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/03	Ohod Madinah Saudi Arabia Division 2	1-1	1-1	8	5	D
13/03	Al Lewaa Saudi Arabia Division 2	2-1	2-2	2	4	D
06/03	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-1	0-1	13	2	L
28/02	Mudhar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Safa vs Al Qala'a?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Safa win (45%). Probabilities: Al Safa 45%, draw 28%, Al Qala'a 26%.

How many goals are expected in Al Safa vs Al Qala'a?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Al Safa 1.49 · Al Qala'a 1.08), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Safa vs Al Qala'a?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.