Football · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · 13/11, 13:30

Prediction: Hottain vs Mudhar FC

Team pages: Hottain · Mudhar FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Hottain1.41

Mudhar FC1.21

1X2

41% 27% 32%

Hottain Draw Mudhar FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hottain 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWDLL

Mudhar FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDWWDLDL

Head-to-head

Hottain 1–1 Mudhar FC (2 last)

Hottain2-0Mudhar FC
Mudhar FC3-0Hottain

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hottain 1441 · Mudhar FC 1483

	Hottain	Draw	Mudhar FC
Our model	40%	29%	31%
Market	42%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mudhar FC (rating 1441 vs 1483).
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hottain	Mudhar FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	1 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2	3.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:32 +29’	2.15	3.50	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hottain 1–0–1 Mudhar FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/01/26 Saudi Arabia Division 2	Hottain	2-0	Mudhar FC
18/10/25 Saudi Arabia Division 2	Mudhar FC	3-0	Hottain

Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · Second Division 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Sahel	6	4	1	1	10	5	13
2	Weg Taif SC	6	3	2	1	8	5	11
3	Al Qala'a	4	3	1	0	9	2	10
4	Baish	5	3	1	1	9	7	10
5	Al Ain FC	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
6	Al Safa	5	3	0	2	6	8	9
7	Al Taraji	6	2	2	2	9	12	8
8	Al Qwarah	6	2	1	3	11	9	7
9	Arar FC	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
10	Al-Qotah	5	1	2	2	8	9	5
11	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah	5	1	2	2	7	8	5
12	Al Nairyah	4	1	1	2	7	7	4
13	Afif	6	1	1	4	4	9	4
14	Al Batin	5	0	3	2	2	7	3
15	Mudhar FC	4	0	2	2	5	8	2
16	Hottain	2	0	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hottain	Mudhar FC
Al-Qotah	1-4 L	0-2 L
Baish	1-2 L	2-2 D
Weg Taif SC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Al Safa	2-1 W	2-2 D
Al Nairyah	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mudhar FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hottain

LLWLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Al-Qotah Saudi Arabia Division 2	1-1	1-4	2	3	L
28/10	Baish Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/04	Weg Taif SC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/04	Ohod Madinah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
27/03	Bisha FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/03	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
06/03	Al Lewaa Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-4	–	–	L
28/02	Al Safa Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/02	Al Nairyah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
17/02	Al-Qotah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-4	–	–	L

Mudhar FC

DLWDWWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Al Sahel Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/11	Baish Saudi Arabia Division 2	1-2	2-2	5	3	D
28/10	Weg Taif SC Saudi Arabia Division 2	1-2	1-2	7	6	L
24/10	Al Nairyah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
09/04	Al-Saqer FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/04	Arar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/03	Al Safa Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
15/03	Al Kawkab Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
06/03	Al-Qotah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
28/02	Al Qala'a Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hottain vs Mudhar FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hottain win (41%). Probabilities: Hottain 41%, draw 27%, Mudhar FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Hottain vs Mudhar FC?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Hottain 1.41 · Mudhar FC 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hottain vs Mudhar FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.