Football · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · 03/11, 13:10
Prediction: Al Kawkab vs Jerash
Team pages: Al Kawkab · Jerash
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Al Kawkab1.65
Jerash1.65
1X2
Al Kawkab
Draw
Jerash
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Kawkab
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Jerash
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Kawkab 1502 · Jerash 1508
| Al Kawkab | Draw | Jerash | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 25% | 37% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Kawkab | Jerash | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/67/33% | 33/0/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.7 | 1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.3 |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · Second Division 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Sharq | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Al Entesar Club | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Al-Arabi Al-Saudi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Al Kawkab | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 5 | AL Hada | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | Al-Rawdhah Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Qilwah Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Al Lewaa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Jerash | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Shoalah | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Jubail Club | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Najran SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Al Najoom | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Al Qous | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Al Washm | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 16 | Jubbah | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Kawkab
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Al Jubail Club Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | AL Hada Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/10 | Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | Al Najoom Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/04 | Al Safa Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Al Nairyah Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/03 | Mudhar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/03 | Al Qous Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/02 | Arar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/02 | Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Jerash
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Al Qous Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/10 | Najran SC Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 10/04 | Jubbah Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 04/04 | Al Sahel Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Al Sharq Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Al Jeel Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/03 | Al-Sadd FC Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/02 | Al Entesar Club Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 21/02 | Al Washm Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/02 | Al Ain FC Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Kawkab vs Jerash?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Kawkab win (37%). Probabilities: Al Kawkab 37%, draw 26%, Jerash 37%.
How many goals are expected in Al Kawkab vs Jerash?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Al Kawkab 1.65 · Jerash 1.65), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Kawkab vs Jerash?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.