Football · India Mizoram Premier League · 28/08, 15:30
Prediction: Chanmari FC vs Mizoram Police FC
Team pages: Chanmari FC · Mizoram Police FC
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
Chanmari FC2.6
Mizoram Police FC0.99
1X2
Chanmari FC
Draw
Mizoram Police FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Chanmari FC
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Mizoram Police FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chanmari FC
1–4–1
Mizoram Police FC
(6 last)
- Chanmari FC2-0Mizoram Police FC
- Mizoram Police FC1-1Chanmari FC
- Mizoram Police FC0-0Chanmari FC
- Chanmari FC1-2Mizoram Police FC
- Chanmari FC2-2Mizoram Police FC
- Chanmari FC3-3Mizoram Police FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chanmari FC 1548 · Mizoram Police FC 1473
| Chanmari FC | Draw | Mizoram Police FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 17% | 11% |
| Market | 72% | 16% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chanmari FC (rating 1548 vs 1473).
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chanmari FC | Mizoram Police FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 0.3 | 1.5 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/33/0% | 33/11/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.8 | 1.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 2.2 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chanmari FC 1–4–1 Mizoram Police FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/25 India Mizoram Premier League | Chanmari FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Mizoram Police FC |
| 26/08/25 India Mizoram Premier League | Mizoram Police FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Chanmari FC |
| 12/10/24 India Mizoram Premier League | Mizoram Police FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chanmari FC |
| 08/10/24 India Mizoram Premier League | Chanmari FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Mizoram Police FC |
| 27/09/24 India Mizoram Premier League | Chanmari FC | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Mizoram Police FC |
| 22/12/23 India Mizoram Premier League | Chanmari FC | 3-3 HT 0-2 | Mizoram Police FC |
Standings · India Mizoram Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aizawl FC XI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Chanmari FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Mizoram Police FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | MLS FC Lawngtlai | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Ramthar Veng FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Dinthar FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | Kanan FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 8 | Saikhamakawn FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chanmari FC | Mizoram Police FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kanan FC | 5-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Aizawl FC XI | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| MLS FC Lawngtlai | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Dinthar FC | 6-0 W | 1-0 W |
| SYS FC | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Saikhamakawn FC | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Chanmari FC (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chanmari FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League |
4-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/11 | Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/10 | MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 24/10 | MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 20/10 | Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | SYS FC India Mizoram Premier League |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/10 | Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/10 | Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 02/10 | Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/09 | Mizoram Police FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Mizoram Police FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/10 | MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 16/10 | Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 14/10 | Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/10 | SYS FC India Mizoram Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/10 | Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 22/09 | Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 15/09 | Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chanmari FC vs Mizoram Police FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chanmari FC win (71%). Probabilities: Chanmari FC 71%, draw 17%, Mizoram Police FC 12%.
How many goals are expected in Chanmari FC vs Mizoram Police FC?
The model expects 3.58 goals (Chanmari FC 2.6 · Mizoram Police FC 0.99), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chanmari FC vs Mizoram Police FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.