Football · Indonesia Championship · 27/09, 10:30
Prediction: Persiku Kudus vs PSIS Semarang
Team pages: Persiku Kudus · PSIS Semarang
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Persiku Kudus1.16
PSIS Semarang1.83
1X2
Persiku Kudus
Draw
PSIS Semarang
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Persiku Kudus
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
PSIS Semarang
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Persiku Kudus
2–1–0
PSIS Semarang
(3 last)
- Persiku Kudus3-3PSIS Semarang
- Persiku Kudus3-0PSIS Semarang
- PSIS Semarang0-4Persiku Kudus
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Persiku Kudus 1485 · PSIS Semarang 1506
| Persiku Kudus | Draw | PSIS Semarang | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| Market | 24% | 24% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Persiku Kudus: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Persiku Kudus | PSIS Semarang | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 4.1 | 3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.4 | 5.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Persiku Kudus 2–1–0 PSIS Semarang
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Indonesia Championship | Persiku Kudus | 3-3 HT 0-2 | PSIS Semarang |
| 11/11/25 Indonesia Championship | Persiku Kudus | 3-0 HT 1-0 | PSIS Semarang |
| 14/09/25 Indonesia Championship | PSIS Semarang | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Persiku Kudus |
Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persikad 1999 FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | PSMS Medan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSIS Semarang | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Semen Padang | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | PSGC Ciamis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | PSPS Pekanbaru | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Bekasi City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | Sumsel United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 9 | Persiraja Aceh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 | Persiku Kudus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Persiku Kudus | PSIS Semarang |
|---|---|---|
| Persipura Jayapura | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Deltras Sidoarjo | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| PSS Sleman | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Kendal Tornado | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| PS Barito Putera | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Persipal Palu | 4-1 W | 6-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Persiku Kudus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | PSMS Medan Indonesia Championship |
0-5 | 0-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 12/09 | Bekasi City Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Persipura Jayapura Indonesia Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/04 | Deltras Sidoarjo Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/04 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | PSIS Semarang Indonesia Championship |
0-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 04/04 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 27/02 | Persipal Palu Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 4-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 21/02 | Persela Lamongan Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
PSIS Semarang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Semen Padang Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 11/09 | PSPS Pekanbaru Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Persipura Jayapura Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Persiku Kudus Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 05/04 | PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 11 | L |
| 29/03 | Persipal Palu Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 01/03 | Persiba Balikpapan Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/02 | Deltras Sidoarjo Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Persiku Kudus vs PSIS Semarang?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PSIS Semarang win (52%). Probabilities: Persiku Kudus 23%, draw 24%, PSIS Semarang 52%.
How many goals are expected in Persiku Kudus vs PSIS Semarang?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Persiku Kudus 1.16 · PSIS Semarang 1.83), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Persiku Kudus vs PSIS Semarang?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.