Football · Japan Regional League · 23/08, 10:30

Prediction: Nankatsu SC vs Toho Titanium

Team pages: Nankatsu SC · Toho Titanium

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Nankatsu SC1.23

Toho Titanium1.4

1X2

32% 28% 40%

Nankatsu SC Draw Toho Titanium

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nankatsu SC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLDDLWWW

Toho Titanium 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Nankatsu SC 1–1–3 Toho Titanium (5 last)

Toho Titanium1-1Nankatsu SC
Nankatsu SC1-2Toho Titanium
Toho Titanium1-2Nankatsu SC
Nankatsu SC1-3Toho Titanium
Toho Titanium2-1Nankatsu SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nankatsu SC 1548 · Toho Titanium 1596

	Nankatsu SC	Draw	Toho Titanium
Our model	32%	29%	40%
Market	32%	28%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toho Titanium (rating 1548 vs 1596).
H2H favours Toho Titanium: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nankatsu SC	Toho Titanium
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	2.1 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.6	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.25

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.99 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.27

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:52 +12’	2.80	3.25	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:02 +2’	2.99	2.86	2.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nankatsu SC 1–1–3 Toho Titanium

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Japan Regional League	Toho Titanium	1-1 HT 0-0	Nankatsu SC
13/07/25 Japan Regional League	Nankatsu SC	1-2 HT 0-2	Toho Titanium
05/04/25 Japan Regional League	Toho Titanium	1-2 HT 1-1	Nankatsu SC
08/09/24 Japan Regional League	Nankatsu SC	1-3 HT 0-2	Toho Titanium
02/06/24 Japan Regional League	Toho Titanium	2-1 HT 0-1	Nankatsu SC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nankatsu SC	Toho Titanium
Nihon University	3-0 W	2-0 W
Toin Yokohama University	3-1 W	2-1 W
Tokyo United FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Ryutsu Keizai Dragons	2-2 D	3-1 W
Tokyo 23 FC	3-3 D	4-0 W
Aries Toshima FC	1-2 L	1-0 W
Shibuya City FC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	7 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Toho Titanium (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nankatsu SC

WDWLDDLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Nihon University Japan Regional League	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
19/07	Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League	3-0	3-1	7	2	W
12/07	EDO ALL United Japan Regional League	1-2	4-2	8	6	W
05/07	Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
28/06	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League	2-2	2-2	6	1	D
07/06	Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League	2-0	3-3	4	4	D
30/05	Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League	0-1	1-2	9	9	L
17/05	Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
05/05	Toho Titanium Japan Regional League	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
19/04	Nihon University Japan Regional League	1-0	2-0	4	4	W

Toho Titanium

DWDWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
26/07	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League	0-1	3-1	3	2	W
19/07	Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League	3-0	4-0	6	0	W
12/07	Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
05/07	Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League	2-0	2-0	0	0	W
07/06	Nihon University Japan Regional League	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
30/05	Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
05/05	Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
19/04	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League	1-0	4-0	6	0	W
11/04	Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League	0-0	0-0	8	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nankatsu SC vs Toho Titanium?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Toho Titanium win (40%). Probabilities: Nankatsu SC 32%, draw 28%, Toho Titanium 40%.

How many goals are expected in Nankatsu SC vs Toho Titanium?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Nankatsu SC 1.23 · Toho Titanium 1.4), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nankatsu SC vs Toho Titanium?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.