Football · Uganda Premier League · 28/08, 19:00

Prediction: Vipers SC vs Entebbe UPPC

Team pages: Vipers SC · Entebbe UPPC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

Vipers SC1.66

Entebbe UPPC0.37

1X2

70% 22% 8%

Vipers SC Draw Entebbe UPPC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 58%

Most likely score

1-0 21%

Recent form · 10 last

Vipers SC 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDDWWDDDWW

Entebbe UPPC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLLWWDDW

Head-to-head

Vipers SC 4–1–1 Entebbe UPPC (6 last)

Vipers SC3-0Entebbe UPPC
Entebbe UPPC0-1Vipers SC
Vipers SC0-0Entebbe UPPC
Entebbe UPPC1-2Vipers SC
Vipers SC2-0Entebbe UPPC
Entebbe UPPC1-0Vipers SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vipers SC 1592 · Entebbe UPPC 1495

	Vipers SC	Draw	Entebbe UPPC
Our model	69%	24%	7%
Market	71%	20%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vipers SC (rating 1592 vs 1495).
H2H favours Vipers SC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vipers SC	Entebbe UPPC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.3	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.5	1.8 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.27

X4.50

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 17:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.27▼	Bet365 1.27
X	4.33 → 4.50▲	Pinn 4.76
2	9.00 → 10.00▲	Pinn 10.68 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:19 +4’	1.30	4.33	9.00
12:53 +4’	1.40▲	3.90▼	7.50▼
15:06 +2’	1.25▼	4.50▲	11.00▲
17:35 +11’	1.27▲	4.50	10.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:57	1.33	4.01	8.02
15:05 +4’	1.21▼	4.93▲	11.04▲
17:44 +1’	1.24▲	4.76▼	10.68▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vipers SC 4–1–1 Entebbe UPPC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Uganda Premier League	Vipers SC	3-0 HT 0-0	Entebbe UPPC
01/11/25 Uganda Premier League	Entebbe UPPC	0-1 HT 0-0	Vipers SC
08/02/24 Uganda Premier League	Vipers SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Entebbe UPPC
17/09/23 Uganda Premier League	Entebbe UPPC	1-2 HT 0-2	Vipers SC
02/05/23 Uganda Premier League	Vipers SC	2-0 HT 1-0	Entebbe UPPC
04/12/22 Uganda Premier League	Entebbe UPPC	1-0 HT 1-0	Vipers SC

Standings · Uganda Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Entebbe UPPC	1	1	0	1	0	3
2	Blacks Power	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	BUL FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Express FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Kataka FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KCCA	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Kigezi Homeboyz FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Kitara FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Lugazi FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Maroons	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Mbarara City	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NEC FC Bugolobi	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Ntugasaze FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SC Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Uganda Police FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	UPDF FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	URA	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Vipers SC	1	0	1	0	1	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vipers SC	Entebbe UPPC
Maroons	3-0 W	0-0 D
Uganda Police FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
KCCA	1-1 D	0-1 L
Buhimba United Saints FC	2-0 W	2-1 W
SC Villa	1-1 D	0-2 L
FC Calvary	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vipers SC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vipers SC

WDDWWDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	Express FC Uganda Premier League	0-0	2-0	8	1	W
19/05	Maroons Uganda Premier League	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
12/05	Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
08/05	URA Uganda Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
29/04	KCCA Uganda Premier League	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
26/04	Entebbe UPPC Uganda Premier League	0-0	3-0	8	0	W
21/04	Buhimba United Saints FC Uganda Premier League	1-0	2-0	9	1	W
15/04	SC Villa Uganda Premier League	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
10/04	Kitara FC Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
14/03	FC Calvary Uganda Premier League	0-0	1-0	11	2	W

Entebbe UPPC

LDWLLWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	BUL FC Uganda Premier League	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
19/05	Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
12/05	Maroons Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
07/05	UPDF FC Uganda Premier League	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
29/04	FC Calvary Uganda Premier League	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/04	Vipers SC Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-3	1	0	L
21/04	KCCA Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
16/04	Buhimba United Saints FC Uganda Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
10/04	Lugazi FC Uganda Premier League	1-1	1-1	1	4	D
14/03	SC Villa Uganda Premier League	0-2	0-2	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vipers SC vs Entebbe UPPC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vipers SC win (70%). Probabilities: Vipers SC 70%, draw 22%, Entebbe UPPC 8%.

How many goals are expected in Vipers SC vs Entebbe UPPC?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Vipers SC 1.66 · Entebbe UPPC 0.37), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vipers SC vs Entebbe UPPC?

The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.