Football · Dominica Premier League · 23/08, 23:00

Prediction: Promex Harlem United SC vs Pointe Michel FC

Team pages: Promex Harlem United SC · Pointe Michel FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.31Total

Promex Harlem United SC2.55

Pointe Michel FC1.76

1X2

54% 21% 25%

Promex Harlem United SC Draw Pointe Michel FC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Promex Harlem United SC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Pointe Michel FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Promex Harlem United SC 1–1–2 Pointe Michel FC (4 last)

Pointe Michel FC3-0Promex Harlem United SC
Pointe Michel FC2-2Promex Harlem United SC
Pointe Michel FC2-1Promex Harlem United SC
Promex Harlem United SC4-2Pointe Michel FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Promex Harlem United SC 1459 · Pointe Michel FC 1434

	Promex Harlem United SC	Draw	Pointe Michel FC
Our model	55%	20%	26%
Market	54%	21%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 4.31 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pointe Michel FC: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Promex Harlem United SC	Pointe Michel FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	2.4 / 4.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1 / 2.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.2	2.5 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.20

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 1 · xG: 5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:48 +12’	1.67	4.20	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Promex Harlem United SC 1–1–2 Pointe Michel FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Dominica Premier League	Pointe Michel FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Promex Harlem United SC
14/06/25 Dominica Premier League	Pointe Michel FC	2-2 HT 0-0	Promex Harlem United SC
06/04/24 Dominica Premier League	Pointe Michel FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Promex Harlem United SC
12/03/23 Dominica Premier League	Promex Harlem United SC	4-2 HT 3-2	Pointe Michel FC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Promex Harlem United SC	Pointe Michel FC
Dublanc FC	0-2 L	3-12 L
Bath Estate	4-1 W	4-5 L
Mahaut Soca Strikers	1-3 L	1-1 D
Mighty Avengers	1-1 D	3-1 W
Portsmouth Bombers	4-2 W	2-6 L
Middleham United FC	1-2 L	1-4 L
Sagicor South East FC	0-1 L	2-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Promex Harlem United SC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Promex Harlem United SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
10/08	Bath Estate Dominica Premier League	4-1	4-1	4	0	W
12/07	Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League	1-0	1-3	3	2	L
05/07	Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
15/06	Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
07/06	Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League	1-0	4-2	4	3	W
30/05	Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League	0-2	1-2	6	1	L
24/05	Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
16/05	Bath Estate Dominica Premier League	2-1	3-2	6	7	W
09/05	Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League	0-1	0-3	1	7	L

Pointe Michel FC

DLWWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	We United FC Dominica Premier League	1-2	2-3	1	4	L
08/08	Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League	0-3	1-4	6	3	L
11/07	Bath Estate Dominica Premier League	1-2	4-5	5	5	L
04/07	Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League	0-7	3-12	4	2	L
20/06	Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League	1-3	2-5	2	5	L
13/06	Bath Estate Dominica Premier League	2-1	2-3	11	4	L
06/06	Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
03/06	Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League	3-1	4-3	5	2	W
31/05	Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League	0-3	2-6	9	1	L
25/05	Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League	1-1	1-1	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Promex Harlem United SC vs Pointe Michel FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Promex Harlem United SC win (54%). Probabilities: Promex Harlem United SC 54%, draw 21%, Pointe Michel FC 25%.

How many goals are expected in Promex Harlem United SC vs Pointe Michel FC?

The model expects 4.31 goals (Promex Harlem United SC 2.55 · Pointe Michel FC 1.76), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Promex Harlem United SC vs Pointe Michel FC?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.