Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 23/08, 22:00

Prediction: Yaracuyanos vs Zamora II

Team pages: Yaracuyanos · Zamora II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Yaracuyanos1.57

Zamora II1.14

1X2

46% 27% 26%

Yaracuyanos Draw Zamora II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Yaracuyanos 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDLDDWDW

Zamora II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLDWLL

Head-to-head

Yaracuyanos 1–1 Zamora II (2 last)

Zamora II3-2Yaracuyanos
Yaracuyanos2-1Zamora II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yaracuyanos 1527 · Zamora II 1501

	Yaracuyanos	Draw	Zamora II
Our model	46%	27%	26%
Market	46%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yaracuyanos	Zamora II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 6.5	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.8	5 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.30

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.95▲	Bet365 1.95
X	3.40 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
2	4.00 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +2’	1.75	3.40	4.00
21:24 +1’	1.95▲	3.30▼	3.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yaracuyanos 1–0–1 Zamora II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Zamora II	3-2 HT 0-1	Yaracuyanos
25/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Yaracuyanos	2-1 HT 1-0	Zamora II

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barquisimeto	20	11	6	3	34	18	39
2	CD Lara	20	11	6	3	33	19	39
3	Urena SC	20	10	8	2	33	19	38
4	Yaracuyanos	20	8	6	6	25	20	30
5	Zamora II	20	7	7	6	31	29	28
6	Academia Puerto Cabello II	21	7	5	9	27	26	26
7	Atletico Barinas	21	7	2	12	41	50	23
8	Atletico El Vigia	21	4	6	11	19	37	18
9	Real Frontera	21	3	2	16	19	44	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yaracuyanos	Zamora II
Academia Puerto Cabello II	0-0 D	2-1 W
Real Frontera	2-0 W	2-0 W
CD Lara	2-2 D	1-4 L
Atletico El Vigia	0-0 D	0-2 L
Atletico Barinas	1-2 L	3-2 W
Urena SC	1-1 D	2-2 D
Barquisimeto	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Yaracuyanos (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yaracuyanos

WLWDLDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
14/08	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
08/08	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
02/08	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-2	4	10	D
25/07	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
06/06	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-2	13	3	L
31/05	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	13	1	D
24/05	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
20/05	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-3	8	9	L
16/05	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	9	9	W

Zamora II

DWLWWLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
15/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
09/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	3-1	3-2	4	4	W
03/08	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	2-2	9	9	D
29/07	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	4	9	L
05/06	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	2	8	W
30/05	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	9	1	W
24/05	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-4	5	4	L
20/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	3-2	3	9	W
16/05	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yaracuyanos vs Zamora II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yaracuyanos win (46%). Probabilities: Yaracuyanos 46%, draw 27%, Zamora II 26%.

How many goals are expected in Yaracuyanos vs Zamora II?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Yaracuyanos 1.57 · Zamora II 1.14), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Yaracuyanos vs Zamora II?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.