Football · Poland IV Liga · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: Stomil Olsztyn vs DKS Dobre Miasto

Team pages: Stomil Olsztyn · DKS Dobre Miasto

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.97Total
Stomil Olsztyn2.81
DKS Dobre Miasto1.15
1X2
71% 17% 12%
Stomil Olsztyn Draw DKS Dobre Miasto
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stomil Olsztyn 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WLWWDWLWWW
DKS Dobre Miasto 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWLWLLWWWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stomil Olsztyn 1571 · DKS Dobre Miasto 1524
Stomil OlsztynDrawDKS Dobre Miasto
Our model71%16%12%
Market71%17%12%
Estimated total (ours) 3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stomil Olsztyn (rating 1571 vs 1524).
  • High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Stomil OlsztynDKS Dobre Miasto
Goals for / against (FT)3.1 / 0.92.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.6 / 0.21.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.73.2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.24.2 / 0.5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stomil Olsztyn

WLWWDWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Zatoka Braniewo
Poland IV Liga
4-0 8-0 122 W
08/08 Tecza Biskupiec
Poland IV Liga
1-0 1-0 65 W
02/08 Mazur Elk
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-0 75 W
21/06 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Poland IV Liga
0-1 0-1 48 L
17/06 Warmia Grajewo
Poland IV Liga
2-0 2-0 65 W
30/05 Polonia Lidzbark
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-1 77 D
16/05 Sokol Ostroda
Poland IV Liga
2-1 4-2 73 W
18/04 Mragowia Mragowo
Poland IV Liga
1-0 3-0 55 W
04/04 Start Nidzica
Poland IV Liga
1-0 2-3 48 L
15/11 Drweca Nowe Miasto
Poland IV Liga
5-0 9-2 93 W

DKS Dobre Miasto

DWLWLLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 GKS Wikielec
Poland IV Liga
1-0 1-1 44 D
07/06 Olimpia Elblag II
Poland IV Liga
1-0 2-0 103 W
23/05 Mamry Gizycko
Poland IV Liga
1-0 2-0 55 W
02/05 GKS Stawiguda
Poland IV Liga
4-0 5-1 44 W
11/04 Polonia Lidzbark
Poland IV Liga
1-2 1-2 39 L
14/03 Rominta Goldap
Poland IV Liga
0-2 1-3 77 L
08/11 Olimpia Elblag II
Poland IV Liga
1-0 2-1 63 W
18/10 Mamry Gizycko
Poland IV Liga
1-4 2-7 47 L
27/09 GKS Stawiguda
Poland IV Liga
0-0 5-1 130 W
13/09 Pisa Barczewo
Poland IV Liga
1-1 2-2 45 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stomil Olsztyn vs DKS Dobre Miasto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stomil Olsztyn win (71%). Probabilities: Stomil Olsztyn 71%, draw 17%, DKS Dobre Miasto 12%.

How many goals are expected in Stomil Olsztyn vs DKS Dobre Miasto?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Stomil Olsztyn 2.81 · DKS Dobre Miasto 1.15), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Stomil Olsztyn vs DKS Dobre Miasto?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.