Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 04/10, 17:00

Prediction: FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi

Team pages: FC Iberia 1999 · Dinamo Tbilisi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

FC Iberia 19991.28

Dinamo Tbilisi1.14

1X2

39% 29% 32%

FC Iberia 1999 Draw Dinamo Tbilisi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Iberia 1999 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLWLWWW

Dinamo Tbilisi 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWDDWW

Head-to-head

FC Iberia 1999 3–1–2 Dinamo Tbilisi (6 last)

FC Iberia 19991-0Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi2-0FC Iberia 1999
FC Iberia 19990-0Dinamo Tbilisi
FC Iberia 19991-0Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi2-1FC Iberia 1999
FC Iberia 19991-0Dinamo Tbilisi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Iberia 1999 1491 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1529

	FC Iberia 1999	Draw	Dinamo Tbilisi
Our model	38%	30%	31%
Market	39%	29%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Iberia 1999: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Iberia 1999	Dinamo Tbilisi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.8	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.10

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:18 +12’	2.30	3.10	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Iberia 1999 3–1–2 Dinamo Tbilisi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Georgia Super Cup	FC Iberia 1999	1-0 HT 1-0	Dinamo Tbilisi
16/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Tbilisi	2-0 HT 2-0	FC Iberia 1999
15/03/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Iberia 1999	0-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Tbilisi
26/11/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Iberia 1999	1-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Tbilisi
19/09/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Tbilisi	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Iberia 1999
20/05/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Iberia 1999	1-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Tbilisi

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dinamo Batumi	27	13	8	6	46	36	47
2	FC Iberia 1999	26	14	4	8	37	28	46
3	FC Rustavi	27	13	7	7	32	23	46
4	Dinamo Tbilisi	26	12	9	5	43	29	45
5	Dila Gori	27	12	4	11	38	30	40
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	27	9	9	9	43	34	36
7	Samgurali	27	9	5	13	38	52	32
8	FC Gagra	27	6	11	10	25	37	29
9	FC Spaeri	27	5	10	12	34	43	25
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	27	2	11	14	20	44	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Iberia 1999	Dinamo Tbilisi
FC Rustavi	2-0 W	0-3 L
Dila Gori	2-1 W	2-1 W
FC Spaeri	1-0 W	2-1 W
Dinamo Batumi	0-2 L	2-1 W
Samgurali	2-1 W	3-2 W
FC Gagra	0-2 L	4-0 W
Torpedo Kutaisi	3-4 L	1-1 D
Meshakhte Tkibuli	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Tbilisi (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Iberia 1999

DLWLLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
17/09	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	2-1	4	10	W
13/09	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
09/09	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
05/09	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
31/08	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-2	11	2	L
15/08	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-3	3-4	11	4	L
23/06	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
17/06	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-2	6	4	L
12/06	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-1	3	2	D

Dinamo Tbilisi

LWWWLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-2	3-2	2	5	W
14/09	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-0	4-0	5	5	W
10/09	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
06/09	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
31/08	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
15/08	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-3	0-3	3	3	L
09/08	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
23/06	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-1	9	3	W
18/06	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-2	5-3	2	3	W
14/06	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-2	1-2	13	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Iberia 1999 win (39%). Probabilities: FC Iberia 1999 39%, draw 29%, Dinamo Tbilisi 32%.

How many goals are expected in FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

The model expects 2.42 goals (FC Iberia 1999 1.28 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.