Football · Myanmar National League · 25/10, 10:00
Prediction: Hantharwady United vs Yangon United FC
Team pages: Hantharwady United · Yangon United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Hantharwady United0.73
Yangon United FC2.12
1X2
Hantharwady United
Draw
Yangon United FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Hantharwady United
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Yangon United FC
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hantharwady United
0–3–3
Yangon United FC
(6 last)
- Hantharwady United0-4Yangon United FC
- Yangon United FC1-0Hantharwady United
- Yangon United FC0-0Hantharwady United
- Hantharwady United2-2Yangon United FC
- Yangon United FC1-1Hantharwady United
- Hantharwady United1-2Yangon United FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hantharwady United 1452 · Yangon United FC 1584
| Hantharwady United | Draw | Yangon United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 21% | 69% |
| Market | 13% | 16% | 71% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yangon United FC (rating 1452 vs 1584).
- H2H favours Yangon United FC: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hantharwady United | Yangon United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 2.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/25/75% | 33/67/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.3 | 3.6 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hantharwady United 0–3–3 Yangon United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/26 Myanmar National League | Hantharwady United | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Yangon United FC |
| 25/10/25 Myanmar National League | Yangon United FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hantharwady United |
| 19/06/25 Myanmar Cup | Yangon United FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hantharwady United |
| 03/11/24 Myanmar National League | Hantharwady United | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Yangon United FC |
| 21/07/24 Myanmar National League | Yangon United FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hantharwady United |
| 26/11/23 Myanmar National League | Hantharwady United | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Yangon United FC |
Standings · Myanmar National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yangon City | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Dagon Star United FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Yadanarbon FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Shan Utd | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Yangon United FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Thitsar Arman FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 7 | Ispe FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 8 | Hantharwady United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Mahar United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 10 | Ayeyawady Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
| 11 | Chinland FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 12 | Myawady FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hantharwady United | Yangon United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Yadanarbon FC | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Shan Utd | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Thitsar Arman FC | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Dagon Star United FC | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Mahar United | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Yangon United FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hantharwady United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Yadanarbon FC Myanmar National League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Shan Utd Myanmar National League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Thitsar Arman FC Myanmar National League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | Dagon Star United FC Myanmar National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/03 | Shan Utd Myanmar National League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/03 | Rakhine United Myanmar National League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/03 | Yangon United FC Myanmar National League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/02 | Yadanarbon FC Myanmar National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/02 | Mahar United Myanmar National League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/02 | Yarmanya United FC Myanmar National League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Yangon United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Mahar United Myanmar National League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Yangon City Myanmar National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Chinland FC Myanmar National League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Mahar United Myanmar National League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 18/03 | Dagon Star United FC Myanmar National League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10/03 | Yadanarbon FC Myanmar National League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/03 | Hantharwady United Myanmar National League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/02 | Mahar United Myanmar National League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/02 | Shan Utd Myanmar National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/02 | Thitsar Arman FC Myanmar National League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hantharwady United vs Yangon United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Yangon United FC win (70%). Probabilities: Hantharwady United 12%, draw 18%, Yangon United FC 70%.
How many goals are expected in Hantharwady United vs Yangon United FC?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Hantharwady United 0.73 · Yangon United FC 2.12), with a 60% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hantharwady United vs Yangon United FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.