Football · Myanmar National League · 05/09, 11:00
Prediction: Thitsar Arman FC vs Hantharwady United
Team pages: Hantharwady United
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Thitsar Arman FC1.45
Hantharwady United1.27
1X2
Thitsar Arman FC
Draw
Hantharwady United
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Thitsar Arman FC
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Hantharwady United
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Thitsar Arman FC
1–1–2
Hantharwady United
(4 last)
- Thitsar Arman FC1-2Hantharwady United
- Hantharwady United0-0Thitsar Arman FC
- Thitsar Arman FC1-0Hantharwady United
- Hantharwady United1-0Thitsar Arman FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thitsar Arman FC 1520 · Hantharwady United 1467
| Thitsar Arman FC | Draw | Hantharwady United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thitsar Arman FC (rating 1520 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Hantharwady United: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Thitsar Arman FC | Hantharwady United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/86/0% | 17/0/83% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thitsar Arman FC 1–1–2 Hantharwady United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 Myanmar National League | Thitsar Arman FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Hantharwady United |
| 24/08/25 Myanmar National League | Hantharwady United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Thitsar Arman FC |
| 03/02/25 Myanmar National League | Thitsar Arman FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hantharwady United |
| 14/07/24 Myanmar National League | Hantharwady United | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Thitsar Arman FC |
Standings · Myanmar National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yangon United FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Yadanarbon FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Dagon Star United FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Ayeyawady Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Yangon City | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 6 | Myawady FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Thitsar Arman FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Shan Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Ispe FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Hantharwady United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Mahar United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Chinland FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Thitsar Arman FC | Hantharwady United |
|---|---|---|
| Yarmanya United FC | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Dagon Star United FC | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Ispe FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Ayeyawady Utd | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Dagon Port FC | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Yangon United FC | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Mahar United | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Yadanarbon FC | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Rakhine United | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 5 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Thitsar Arman FC (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thitsar Arman FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Myawady FC Myanmar National League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 17/03 | Yarmanya United FC Myanmar National League |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/03 | Dagon Star United FC Myanmar National League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/03 | Ispe FC Myanmar National League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/02 | Ayeyawady Utd Myanmar National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 20/02 | Dagon Port FC Myanmar National League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 10/02 | Yangon United FC Myanmar National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 05/02 | Mahar United Myanmar National League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/01 | Yadanarbon FC Myanmar National League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 22/01 | Rakhine United Myanmar National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
Hantharwady United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Dagon Star United FC Myanmar National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/03 | Shan Utd Myanmar National League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/03 | Rakhine United Myanmar National League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/03 | Yangon United FC Myanmar National League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/02 | Yadanarbon FC Myanmar National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/02 | Mahar United Myanmar National League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/02 | Yarmanya United FC Myanmar National League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/02 | Ispe FC Myanmar National League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/01 | Dagon Port FC Myanmar National League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 24/01 | Ayeyawady Utd Myanmar National League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thitsar Arman FC vs Hantharwady United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Thitsar Arman FC win (41%). Probabilities: Thitsar Arman FC 41%, draw 27%, Hantharwady United 32%.
How many goals are expected in Thitsar Arman FC vs Hantharwady United?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Thitsar Arman FC 1.45 · Hantharwady United 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Thitsar Arman FC vs Hantharwady United?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.