Football · Uruguay Cup · 27/08, 20:00
Prediction: Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo
Team pages: Atletico Fenix Montevideo · Liverpool Montevideo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Atletico Fenix Montevideo1.23
Liverpool Montevideo1.56
1X2
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Draw
Liverpool Montevideo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Liverpool Montevideo
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
2–4
Liverpool Montevideo
(6 last)
- Liverpool Montevideo1-2Atletico Fenix Montevideo
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo1-3Liverpool Montevideo
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo1-0Liverpool Montevideo
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo0-1Liverpool Montevideo
- Liverpool Montevideo3-1Atletico Fenix Montevideo
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo0-3Liverpool Montevideo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1494 · Liverpool Montevideo 1518
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | Draw | Liverpool Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 29% | 28% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Liverpool Montevideo: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | Liverpool Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.4 | 1.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.6 | 6.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Fenix Montevideo 2–0–4 Liverpool Montevideo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/24 Uruguay Clausura | Liverpool Montevideo | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo |
| 07/04/24 Uruguay Apertura | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Liverpool Montevideo |
| 03/09/23 Uruguay Clausura | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Liverpool Montevideo |
| 21/07/23 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Liverpool Montevideo |
| 20/02/23 Uruguay Apertura | Liverpool Montevideo | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo |
| 23/10/22 Uruguay Clausura | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Liverpool Montevideo |
Standings · Uruguay Cup · Copa Uruguay 2026, Group F
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston River | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Colon FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/07 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 11 | L |
| 20/06 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
Liverpool Montevideo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 08/08 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Central Espanol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 11 | D |
| 25/07 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Cerro Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/06 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 01/06 | Boston River Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 23/05 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 16/05 | Penarol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Liverpool Montevideo win (44%). Probabilities: Atletico Fenix Montevideo 29%, draw 28%, Liverpool Montevideo 44%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1.23 · Liverpool Montevideo 1.56), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.