Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 19/08, 19:30

Prediction: Breitenrain vs Young Boys II

Team pages: Breitenrain · Young Boys II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Breitenrain1.96

Young Boys II1.61

1X2

45% 24% 31%

Breitenrain Draw Young Boys II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Breitenrain 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDLLDW

Young Boys II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLLDLW

Head-to-head

Breitenrain 2–2–2 Young Boys II (6 last)

Breitenrain3-0Young Boys II
Young Boys II3-2Breitenrain
Breitenrain0-0Young Boys II
Young Boys II4-3Breitenrain
Breitenrain1-1Young Boys II
Young Boys II1-2Breitenrain

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Breitenrain 1520 · Young Boys II 1475

	Breitenrain	Draw	Young Boys II
Our model	45%	24%	31%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Breitenrain (rating 1520 vs 1475).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Breitenrain	Young Boys II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.6	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/22/22%	14/43/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	2.9 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.75

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.23 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:05 +25’	2.00	3.75	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:30	1.96	3.68	3.23

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Breitenrain 2–2–2 Young Boys II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Breitenrain	3-0 HT 1-0	Young Boys II
23/11/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Young Boys II	3-2 HT 2-0	Breitenrain
15/02/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Breitenrain	0-0 HT 0-0	Young Boys II
11/08/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Young Boys II	4-3 HT 2-2	Breitenrain
09/03/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Breitenrain	1-1 HT 0-1	Young Boys II
02/09/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Young Boys II	1-2	Breitenrain

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Grand-Saconnex	2	2	0	0	8	1	6
2	SC Bruhl	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
3	FC Schaffhausen	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
4	Biel Bienne	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
5	FC Bulle	2	1	1	0	6	3	4
6	Bavois	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
7	Breitenrain	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
8	Young Boys II	2	1	0	1	5	5	3
9	FC Kreuzlingen	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
10	SC Cham	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
11	FC Amical Saint-Prex	2	1	0	1	1	6	3
12	Lucerne II	3	1	0	2	6	6	3
13	FC Paradiso	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
14	Lugano II	3	1	0	2	6	10	3
15	FC Zurich II	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
16	Basel II	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
17	AC Bellinzona	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
18	YF Juventus	2	0	0	2	2	7	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Breitenrain	Young Boys II
SC Cham	1-2 L	1-1 D
FC Solothurn	2-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Young Boys II (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Breitenrain

WLWLWDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
08/08	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-2	2-2	12	4	D
01/08	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	1-2	2	6	L
23/07	FC Solothurn Europe Friendlies	1-2	2-3	7	3	L
20/07	Biel Bienne Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
13/07	FC Besa Biel/Bienne Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-1	1	1	W
11/07	FC Lausanne-Sport Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
08/07	Stade Payerne Europe Friendlies	2-0	6-0	11	0	W
26/06	FC Thun Club Friendly List	–	2-3	–	–	L
26/06	Young Boys Club Friendly List	2-0	2-0	–	–	W

Young Boys II

WDDLLLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	3-1	8	4	W
31/07	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-0	2-4	1	1	L
20/07	FC Solothurn Europe Friendlies	0-1	2-2	10	5	D
16/07	FC Prishtina Bern Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-2	9	3	L
01/07	FC Solothurn Europe Friendlies	1-2	1-2	9	1	L
30/05	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
23/05	Kriens Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-2	–	–	L
16/05	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/04	Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	4-2	1	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Breitenrain vs Young Boys II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Breitenrain win (45%). Probabilities: Breitenrain 45%, draw 24%, Young Boys II 31%.

How many goals are expected in Breitenrain vs Young Boys II?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Breitenrain 1.96 · Young Boys II 1.61), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Breitenrain vs Young Boys II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.